Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

This prediction market tracks the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Group Stage best-of-3 match between Tundra Esports and Virtus.pro, scheduled for April 19. Traders are pricing the odds of which team wins the series, with the market resolving to the team that wins the BO3. Smart money activity on this market includes a notable alert highlighting sharp backing on the underdog.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Tundra Esports and Virtus.pro in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 19 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against Tundra Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,050.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable 5-wallet cluster

A profitable high-volume sports trader from a known 5-wallet funded cluster is selling Tundra at 77¢, which translates to buying Virtus.pro around 23¢.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 357 resolved trades and is up $123.7k overall
  • Five wallets funded by the same source have traded $31.5k total, a strong coordinated pattern
  • Selling Tundra at 77¢ is the same as buying Virtus.pro near 23¢, a cheap underdog entry

$2,718 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 67%

5-wallet funded cluster

A profitable serial sports trader from a 5-wallet linked cluster bought $5.2k of Tundra into a huge pre-match volume spike and is already marked up.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 357 resolved trades and is up $123.7k lifetime
  • Five linked wallets funded by the same address have shown up across prior runs, pointing to coordinated conviction
  • They bought Tundra at 72¢ during a 241x volume spike, and the market has already moved to 76¢

$5,156 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A profitable, highly active cross-market bettor bought Tundra before a sharp pre-match volume surge and is already in the money, making this a decent momentum-follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 125 resolved trades and is up $17.6k overall
  • They trade across many related markets: 35 markets across 32 events with nearly $175k tracked
  • Bought Tundra at 71¢ before a 241x volume spike, and the market has already moved to 76¢

$2,173 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 62%

Pro bettor ahead of spike

Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long track record bought Tundra before a major volume spike and is already marked up from 70¢ to 76¢.

  • This bettor has won 782 of 1,191 resolved trades and is up about $176k overall
  • They bought Tundra at 70¢ before the market moved to 76¢, locking in an immediate 6-point edge
  • This match saw a 241x jump in trading activity, which supports the idea that sharp money was moving in

$1,822 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 66%

16-0 sharp backing underdog

A highly profitable sports wallet with a perfect 16-for-16 resolved record just put $34.2k on Virtus.pro at 22¢, a clear contrarian position against an 80% Tundra market.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 16 resolved trades and is up $562k lifetime
  • They just bought $34.2k of Virtus.pro at 22¢, going against a market pricing Tundra at 80%
  • The bet hit during a 331x volume spike, suggesting meaningful money was rushing into this match market

$34,181 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Virtus.pro, $231,860 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xee00...cea1 Tundra Esports, $195,517 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x153a...9d6d Tundra Esports, $14,662 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x87da...53d1 Tundra Esports, $11,428 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x5031...1ffb Tundra Esports, $10,193 (56% win rate)
  6. 0xb66a...800e Virtus.pro, $9,990 (93% win rate)
  7. 0xafd4...7e61 Tundra Esports, $7,040 (66% win rate)
  8. 0xef62...cf76 Tundra Esports, $6,466 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xc3e7...68d2 Tundra Esports, $6,016 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xd4aa...d40c Virtus.pro, $5,849

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2h$46,050 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Tundra Esports
65¢
Virtus.pro
35¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Tundra Esports and Virtus.pro in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 19 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against Tundra Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Tundra Esports
81¢
79¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1h ago

$2,718 on Virtus.pro at 23¢

23¢35¢12¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1h ago

$5,156 on Tundra Esports at 72¢

72¢65¢7¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1h ago

$2,173 on Tundra Esports at 71¢

71¢65¢6¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1h ago

$1,822 on Tundra Esports at 70¢

70¢65¢5¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

3h ago

$34,181 on Virtus.pro at 22¢

22¢35¢13¢

Related Theses

Tundra vs Virtus.pro Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter