Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

This prediction market covers the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs best-of-three match between Virtus.pro and MOUZ, scheduled for April 13. Traders are pricing which team will win the BO3, with the market resolving to the match winner or voiding if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days. PolySpotter is currently tracking $982 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 2 match between Virtus.pro and MOUZ in the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Virtus.pro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,926.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 72% win rate and $426k profit is taking Virtus.pro at 40¢, making this a credible sharp sports-style position despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades across 423 bets and is up $426.9k lifetime
  • They have traded 79 markets across 43 events, showing a repeatable multi-market betting edge
  • Buying Virtus.pro at 40¢ suggests they see the underdog as mispriced versus the current 39-40¢ market

$982 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with a strong long-term record bought the underdog at 40¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades across 423 bets and is up about $427k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related events with nearly $2.0M tracked volume, a pattern that often reflects real event expertise
  • Bought Virtus.pro at 40¢, implying they see the underdog as meaningfully mispriced

$982 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 72%

Proven esports sharp on underdog

A proven profitable sports bettor with a 71% win rate made a nearly $2k bet into the underdog on a modest-volume esports market, making this a credible thesis worth tracking.

  • This bettor has won 300 of 420 resolved trades and is up $424.6k lifetime
  • They bet nearly $2k on Virtus.pro at 37¢, a meaningful size versus this market's $8.1k 24-hour volume
  • This wallet has traded 78 related markets across 42 events, which points to repeatable event-level edge rather than a one-off punt

$1,962 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x66fb...9f72 Virtus.pro, $33,692 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xfa88...85a5 MOUZ, $12,122 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x8e8c...65dd MOUZ, $6,786 (79% win rate)
  4. 0xfdc0...4b85 MOUZ, $4,608 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xc186...ad81 Virtus.pro, $4,133 (73% win rate)
  6. 0xa11c...e96f Virtus.pro, $3,127 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x8e67...e2e6 MOUZ, $2,610 (53% win rate)
  8. 0xbb64...bfdc MOUZ, $2,127 (67% win rate)
  9. 0x55d9...832c MOUZ, $1,944
  10. 0x3471...f17e MOUZ, $1,611 (49% win rate)

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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

4h$3,926 tracked3 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Virtus.pro
66¢
MOUZ
35¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 2 match between Virtus.pro and MOUZ in the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Virtus.pro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Virtus.pro
67¢
44¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

1h ago

$982 on Virtus.pro at 40¢

40¢66¢26¢

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

1h ago

$982 on Virtus.pro at 40¢

40¢66¢26¢

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

2h ago

$1,962 on Virtus.pro at 37¢

37¢66¢29¢

Related Theses

Virtus.pro vs MOUZ Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter