Part of: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Virtus.pro and Team Liquid in DreamLeague Group A, scheduled for May 15 at 6:00 AM ET. It resolves to Virtus.pro or Team Liquid based on who wins the first Dota 2 game, with resolution expected by May 15, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $1,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including underdog buying from a sharp esports bettor.

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Virtus.pro and Team Liquid in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Virtus.pro. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,562.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp esports cluster

Three wallets bought Team Liquid together, including two highly profitable 88% winners and a serial cross-market trader, ahead of a move from roughly 52-66¢ to 100¢.

  • Two of the wallets win 88% of their resolved bets and are up about $154K combined.
  • Three wallets bought the same side within seconds, putting $4.5K on Team Liquid.
  • The entry was 52-66¢ before the market moved to 100¢, suggesting they caught the decisive move.

$4,500 on Team Liquid

95% sharp esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Virtus.pro despite the price now drifting below entry.

  • This bettor has won 35 of 37 resolved bets and is up $46k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with a 95% win rate.
  • Their $1k Virtus.pro buy helped drive a quick 12-point move, though the market is now below their 49¢ entry.

$1,000 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable esports serial bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Team Liquid at 65% despite the market now pricing them around 45%.

  • This bettor has a strong long-term record: 70% wins across 966 resolved bets and +$809K profit.
  • They are a highly active cross-market trader, with $2.4M deployed across 487 markets in 318 events.
  • Entry at 65¢ suggests strong conviction on Team Liquid, though the market has since moved against them to about 45¢.

$1,062 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 70%

95% winner buying underdog

Elite profitable esports/cross-market bettor bought Virtus.pro despite the market now pricing them lower, making the wallet track record the key signal.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $1.9M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 92 events with over $5.0M traded.
  • Entry at 24¢ backs the underdog despite current odds near 20¢, suggesting a high-conviction contrarian read.

$1,000 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe557...9597 Team Liquid, $16,020
  2. 0x8479...40df Virtus.pro, $10,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xe16d...5e30 Virtus.pro, $9,995 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x507e...beae Team Liquid, $8,888 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xd06c...cdaf Team Liquid, $7,916 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x05a7...42e6 Virtus.pro, $6,870 (99% win rate)
  7. 0x913c...39b3 Virtus.pro, $6,342 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x3471...f17e Team Liquid, $5,635 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x03f8...d85a Virtus.pro, $5,012 (95% win rate)
  10. 0x2d39...6053 Team Liquid, $5,002 (48% win rate)

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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

1hDota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$7,562 tracked4 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Virtus.pro
0¢
Team Liquid
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Virtus.pro and Team Liquid in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Virtus.pro. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Liquid
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$4,500 on Team Liquid at 61¢

61¢100¢39¢

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$1,000 on Virtus.pro at 49¢

49¢0¢49¢

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,062 on Team Liquid at 65¢

65¢100¢35¢

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,000 on Virtus.pro at 24¢

24¢0¢24¢

Related Theses