Part of: Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $70,447.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven bettor chasing breakout

A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with 873 resolved bets bought into a fast price breakout on this Dota market, making it worth tracking despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 67% of 873 resolved trades and is up about $542k lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across markets with over $2.1M deployed, suggesting this is a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off punt.
  • Their buy helped drive a sharp 19-point move in about 3 minutes, showing strong conviction even though the price has since cooled.

$2,678 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 72%

95% win-rate cluster bettor

A highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor joined a 9-wallet one-sided cluster to buy Natus Vincere at 45¢ before the market moved sharply against them, making this coordinated esports position worth watching.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up about $296k across 348 resolved positions.
  • Nine wallets all bought Natus Vincere, putting in about $18.6k on the same side of this game.
  • They entered at 45¢ and the market is now 31¢, a much cheaper follow price if their read is right.

$2,185 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%

93% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 93% win rate joined a 9-wallet one-sided push into Natus Vincere during a major volume spike, making this a notable follow despite the small ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $202k across 85 settled positions.
  • Nine wallets all bought Natus Vincere in the same window for $18.6k total, pointing to a shared view.
  • This wallet entered at 42¢, while the market now sits near 31¢, showing they were willing to pay well above the current price.

$986 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%

26-0 sharp in wallet cluster

A flawless 26-for-26 bettor joined a 9-wallet coordinated buy cluster on Natus Vincere at 42¢ during a strong volume spike, making this a notable copy-trade signal despite the market moving against them since entry.

  • This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved trades and is up about $68k lifetime
  • Nine wallets all bought Natus Vincere, putting $18.6k behind the same side during a 14.8x volume spike
  • They entered at 42¢, which priced Natus Vincere as a clear underdog and implies they saw meaningful upside

$2,922 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp 8-wallet esports cluster

Several proven winning wallets piled into Natus Vincere at 42-45¢ in a fast coordinated burst on a high-volume esports market, making this cluster worth watching despite the price moving against them afterward.

  • Three wallets in this group have exceptional records: 100% on 26 bets, 100% on 40 bets, and 95% on 348 bets.
  • Eight wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $17.0k behind Natus Vincere at 42-45¢.
  • One bettor in the cluster has traded 65 related markets across 61 events with a 95% win rate, suggesting repeatable esports edge.

$17,040 on Natus Vincere

Sharp joined 10-wallet surge

A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate joined a 10-wallet one-sided push into Xtreme Gaming before a major volume spike, and the price has already moved from 57¢ to 68¢.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $254k across 777 bets.
  • 10 wallets piled into Xtreme Gaming for $21.6k total, showing coordinated conviction.
  • They bought at 57¢ and the market is already at 68¢ after a 144x volume spike.

$2,026 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 47%

Sharp bettor in 10-wallet pile-in

A proven sharp bettor with a 90% win rate bought Xtreme at 59¢ alongside 10 wallets piling into the same side during a major volume spike, and the market has already moved to 68¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up about $60.9k across 335 resolved bets.
  • 10 wallets bought Xtreme together for $21.6k as volume surged 144x above normal.
  • They entered at 59¢ and the market is now 68¢, showing immediate follow-through.

$2,209 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

10-wallet esports pile-in

A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 10-wallet one-sided move into Xtreme Gaming before a sharp price jump, suggesting coordinated conviction worth following.

  • 10 wallets all bought Xtreme Gaming, putting $21.6k on the same side
  • This wallet has 1,329 resolved bets and is up $66k lifetime
  • They bought at 57¢ and the market is now 68¢, showing strong immediate follow-through

$2,082 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 61%

9-wallet sharp cluster

A 9-wallet coordinated cluster piled into Xtreme Gaming with one standout 90% win-rate bettor and several profitable serial traders, pushing the price sharply higher in a liquid esports market.

  • Nine wallets bought Xtreme Gaming within minutes, putting in $18.6k together and helping drive the price up about 16 points.
  • One bettor in the group wins 90% of resolved trades with a strong edge, and several others are also profitable across hundreds of markets.
  • Most of the buys came at 56-59¢ while the market now sits near 69¢, showing the cluster got in well before the move.

$18,594 on Xtreme Gaming

New whale piling into Xtreme

A brand-new wallet has repeatedly deployed very large size across Polymarket and just put nearly $20k into one side of a mid-liquidity esports market, signaling strong conviction despite having no track record yet.

  • This wallet is less than 1 day old and has already triggered 25 large-bet alerts totaling about $286k
  • It just put nearly $20k on Xtreme Gaming at 54¢ in two back-to-back buys, showing concentrated conviction
  • The market is only about $44k deep, so this is meaningful size rather than routine flow

$19,725 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x05a7...42e6 Outcome 11290307, $6,956 (96% win rate)
  2. 0xd599...bf55 Outcome 11290307, $6,167 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 11290307, $6,131 (91% win rate)
  4. 0xf7c2...9b8d Outcome 11290307, $5,038 (95% win rate)
  5. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 11290307, $4,000 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x19b6...ad8e Outcome 11290307, $3,921 (82% win rate)
  7. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 11290307, $3,000 (79% win rate)
  8. 0xad72...4f5e Outcome 11290307, $2,730 (87% win rate)
  9. 0x8310...8967 Outcome 11290307, $2,348 (93% win rate)
  10. 0x8f76...aea6 Outcome 11290307, $2,107 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$70,447 tracked10 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Xtreme Gaming and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Xtreme Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,678 on Xtreme Gaming at 73¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,185 on Natus Vincere at 45¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$986 on Natus Vincere at 42¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,922 on Natus Vincere at 42¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$17,040 on Natus Vincere at 43¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,026 on Xtreme Gaming at 57¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,209 on Xtreme Gaming at 59¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,082 on Xtreme Gaming at 57¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$18,594 on Xtreme Gaming at 58¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$19,725 on Xtreme Gaming at 54¢

Related Theses