Part of: Ecuador vs. Curaçao - More Markets
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $586,357.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
95% sports sharp
Surface because this is a proven sharp sports wallet with a 95% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying Under before it moved from 89¢ to 98¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $37K lifetime.
- They bought Under at 89¢, and the market has already moved to 98¢.
- The trade was meaningful at $2K, though the current price is now above the ideal copy range.
$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable bettor chasing Over
A highly profitable sports bettor bought Over into a coordinated one-sided flow and major volume spike, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor is up $988K lifetime across 4,103 resolved markets.
- Three wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling $5.2K of one-sided flow.
- Over has fallen from their 57¢ average entry to 14¢, making this a discounted but high-risk follow.
$3,995 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
Six-wallet Under push
Strong coordinated Under buying across six wallets with a major volume spike, though the lead wallet itself does not have a strong historical track record.
- Six wallets are all buying Under, totaling about $51.8k on the same side.
- This wallet alone added roughly $27.6k of Under exposure across 9 buys, averaging about 65¢.
- Volume spiked around 20x and the market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread.
$33,626 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Six-wallet Under push
Strong coordinated Under buying across six wallets with a major volume spike, though the lead wallet itself does not have a strong historical track record.
- Six wallets are all buying Under, totaling about $51.8k on the same side.
- This wallet alone added roughly $27.6k of Under exposure across 9 buys, averaging about 65¢.
- Volume spiked around 20x and the market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread.
$32,703 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Perfect-record sharp on Under
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a perfect 19-0 resolved record bought $20k of Under and the market has already moved in their direction.
- This bettor is 19-for-19 on resolved trades and is up $860k lifetime.
- They put $20k on Under at 77¢, and the price has already moved to 82¢.
- This wallet has traded 42 markets across 36 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$20,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial bettor on Over
Profitable high-volume bettor with a 64% long-run win rate is buying Over alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 64% of 924 resolved trades and is up $371K lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $4.8M deployed across 508 markets.
- Four wallets bought the same Over side, totaling $9.6K in one-sided flow.
$2,902 on Over | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp bettor joins Over cluster
Moderately sharp bettor joined a 4-wallet one-sided Over push, but the market has moved against the trade since entry.
- This bettor has won 19 of 24 resolved bets, beating typical odds by about 19 percentage points.
- Four wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $9.6k on Over.
- The entry was 40¢, but Over is now around 30¢, so the market has moved against them so far.
$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable whale with 8-wallet cluster
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Over alongside an 8-wallet one-sided cluster during a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor is up $16.2M lifetime across more than 16,000 resolved bets.
- 8 wallets bought the same Over side for $65K total, showing coordinated conviction.
- Market volume spiked 43x before kickoff, and this trader entered at 53¢ while the market is now cheaper around 48¢.
$10,383 on Over | Wallet win rate: 64%
Six-wallet Under push
Strong coordinated Under buying across six wallets with a major volume spike, though the lead wallet itself does not have a strong historical track record.
- Six wallets are all buying Under, totaling about $51.8k on the same side.
- This wallet alone added roughly $27.6k of Under exposure across 9 buys, averaging about 65¢.
- Volume spiked around 20x and the market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread.
$30,527 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable bettor joins Under cluster
Strong coordinated Under flow led by a profitable high-volume sports bettor, with six wallets buying the same side and the price already moving sharply from about 50¢ to 64¢.
- This bettor has a long record: 924 resolved bets, 64% wins, and $371K in profit.
- Six wallets bought the same Under side for $51.8K total, showing broad one-way conviction.
- They entered around 50¢ before Under moved to 64¢, alongside a 21x pre-game volume spike.
$4,972 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x5966...f804 — Outcome 83934061, $195,287 (94% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 83934061, $178,889 (52% win rate)
- 0x6c8c...6b71 — Outcome 83934061, $75,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 83934061, $53,333 (97% win rate)
- 0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 83934061, $40,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xcb58...43c2 — Outcome 83934061, $35,727 (100% win rate)
- 0x91d8...9e8d — Outcome 83934061, $34,251
- 0xa7a4...e371 — Outcome 83934061, $31,708 (77% win rate)
- 0x040d...1a5e — Outcome 83934061, $27,822 (72% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Outcome 83934061, $25,712 (77% win rate)
Related Theses
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Czechia won't beat Korea
Covers 3 related markets
Canada-Bosnia match canceled
Covers 3 related markets
Switzerland-Bosnia match happens
Covers 3 related markets


