Part of: Ecuador vs. Curaçao - More Markets
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $99,390.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Linked whales buying Under
A $31.6k coordinated Under buy from four wallets, including linked funding and highly profitable high-volume bettors, is a strong directional signal before the match.
- Four wallets bought $31.6k of Under in minutes, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- Two major bettors in the cluster are highly profitable, including one up $16.2M lifetime and another up $371k.
- They entered around 60–63¢ and the market has already moved to 66¢, confirming one-sided demand.
$31,561 on Under
Sharp serial sports bettor
Proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and nearly $400k profit is buying Over 3.5 at 40¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $397k lifetime.
- They have traded across 200 events with a strong long-term record, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see value on a 4+ goal game despite the market pricing it as an underdog outcome.
$2,100 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp soccer bettor buys Over
Sharp profitable wallet bought Over 3.5 at 40¢, backed by an 87% record and strong lifetime P&L despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $138,673 lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 29¢, suggesting a history of finding mispriced long shots.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see Over 3.5 as a strong plus-money opportunity.
$1,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 90%
97% winner joins Over flow
Surface: a 97% winning bettor exited Under into an Over-equivalent position while three wallets put $16.6k on Over amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $33k effectively moved onto Over at 39¢.
- Three wallets put $16.6k on the same side, with pre-game volume running 31x above normal.
- Entry around 38–39¢ implies a roughly 2.6x payout if the match reaches 4 total goals.
$16,616 on Over
Pre-game Over cluster
Surfacing as a high-conviction pre-game Over cluster, though the signal is mixed because a larger linked Under cluster is also present.
- Three wallets put $31.8k on Over, nearly as much as the market’s listed liquidity.
- The market saw a 73x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy positioning before kickoff.
- Their main entries were around 41¢, but Over is now near 34¢, offering a cheaper entry than the cluster paid.
$31,826 on Over
Profitable 76% sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 76% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Over 3.5 at 37¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $4,920 lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 37¢, matching this 37¢ Over buy.
- Entry at 37¢ implies a roughly 2.7x payout if Ecuador and Curaçao combine for 4+ goals.
$1,459 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable 76% sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 76% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Over 3.5 at 37¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $4,920 lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 37¢, matching this 37¢ Over buy.
- Entry at 37¢ implies a roughly 2.7x payout if Ecuador and Curaçao combine for 4+ goals.
$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable new sports whale
A 16-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets bought nearly $9.8k of Over in a liquid soccer total market.
- A 16-day-old wallet is already up $14.9k and keeps making large bets.
- This is its 10th flagged large bet, with $47.3k total flagged so far.
- Bought $9.8k of Over at 37¢, implying a strong view against the current 36% market price.
$9,778 on Over | Wallet win rate: 70%
97% winner buying Under
Sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win record and +$33k P&L bought Under 3.5 goals despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved positions and is up $33,071 lifetime.
- They bought $1,800 of Under at 63¢, a meaningful bet from a proven wallet.
- Their past wins came at average 51¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten fair prices by a wide margin.
$1,800 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%
Elite sports sharp
A highly proven sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.85M lifetime profit is buying Under in this match total.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.85M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 176 events with over $751K in cross-market volume.
- Buying Under at 61¢ suggests confidence despite a fairly liquid market.
$1,749 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x8b1d...1a19 — Outcome 31874608, $26,427 (70% win rate)
- 0xdc40...89cf — Outcome 31874608, $10,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x3561...f1b7 — Outcome 31874608, $6,046
- 0x1b8f...cca7 — Outcome 31874608, $4,500 (65% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 31874608, $4,039 (76% win rate)
- 0xd146...9bf0 — Outcome 31874608, $3,250 (40% win rate)
- 0x0249...5b4b — Outcome 31874608, $3,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 31874608, $2,788 (64% win rate)
- 0x1eba...ff9c — Outcome 31874608, $2,700 (82% win rate)
- 0x5b6e...f544 — Outcome 31874608, $2,500 (90% win rate)
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