Part of: Ecuador vs. Germany - Halftime Result

Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,030.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Games, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Live-play cluster hit fast

A 3-wallet cluster bought the same halftime draw outcome during live play and the market quickly moved to 100%, though the edge is no longer copyable at current odds.

  • Three wallets bought the same side for $7.0K and the price jumped about 30 points to 100¢.
  • One wallet in the cluster is up $84K lifetime and has traded across 30 resolved markets.
  • This was a strong live-market read, but it should not be chased now that the outcome is priced at 100¢.

$7,030 on Yes

Profitable new repeat bettor

A 5-day-old wallet with repeated large-bet flags and early profit is buying Yes on the halftime draw at 38¢.

  • This 5-day-old bettor is already up about $9,000 across 7 resolved positions.
  • They have been flagged 11 times for large bets, totaling $33,010 in notable activity.
  • Buying at 38¢ suggests they see the halftime draw as underpriced despite recent odds drifting down.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 80613528, $10,514
  2. 0xc23d...82c8 Outcome 80613528, $10,511 (88% win rate)
  3. 0xa700...102b Outcome 80613528, $2,506 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xdb83...1e50 Outcome 80613528, $1,345 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x2d6a...8add Outcome 80613528, $1,133 (59% win rate)
  6. 0xa2c3...ac23 Outcome 80613528, $500
  7. 0xc800...4117 Outcome 80613528, $296 (55% win rate)
  8. 0xc4fe...601f Outcome 80613528, $240
  9. 0x851f...642f Outcome 80613528, $156
  10. 0xe70c...17c5 Outcome 80613528, $131 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Switzerland Algeria level at halftime

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Colombia Ghana tied at halftime

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Paraguay France tied at half

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Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?

ResolvedEcuador vs. Germany - Halftime Result$10,030 tracked2 signalsFIFA World CupGamesSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?

59d ago

$7,030 on Yes at 63¢

Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?

59d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 38¢

Related Theses