Part of: Ecuador vs. Germany - More Markets
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,548.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable new repeat bettor
A new but already profitable repeat bettor bought Over at 66¢ before a major move to 99¢ amid a large volume spike.
- This new bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades and already up $13,761.
- They have been flagged 10 times for large bets, with $21,950 total tracked activity.
- They bought Over at 66¢ before it jumped to 99¢, alongside a 15.6x volume spike.
$1,701 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%
Proven sports sharp
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $439k lifetime profit bought Over for $6k, with a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $439,608 lifetime.
- They have bet across 216 events with the same 76% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Over at 59¢ as the market has already moved up 4 points today and 8 points this week.
$6,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
84% winner buys Under
Surface: a highly profitable sports bettor with an 84% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Under at 41¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $541k lifetime.
- They have traded 246 markets across 215 events, showing a long sports track record.
- Entry at 41¢ goes against the recent move toward Over, implying they see value on Under.
$2,911 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable 77% win-rate serial sports bettor is effectively moving toward Over by selling Under, though this appears to reduce an existing Under position rather than open a fresh bet.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $357k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with bets across 106 events and $240k in tracked volume.
- Selling Under at 40¢ is equivalent to taking Over at 60¢, matching the market’s recent move toward higher scoring.
$4,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 78%
Fresh whale buying Over
A brand-new wallet put $40K on Over hours before kickoff, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and rising odds.
- A 39-minute-old wallet placed $40K in three trades, effectively buying Over around 60¢.
- Market activity is surging, with volume nearly 500x above its historical average.
- Over has already moved up 5 points today and 9.5 points this week, matching the bettor’s direction.
$40,144 on Over
Contrarian Under cluster
High-score coordinated Under buying is worth surfacing because four wallets, including a profitable new repeat whale and a serial cross-market bettor, all took the same contrarian side despite the market moving against them afterward.
- Four wallets put $11.4K on Under while the market heavily favors Over at 92%.
- One 10-day-old wallet has already been flagged 22 times, with $214.6K in prior flagged bets and $38.3K profit.
- This is a crowded, fast-moving market with a 31x volume spike and sharp odds movement around the event.
$13,448 on Under
Elite sports bettor buying Over
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $309,937 lifetime profit bought Over 2.5 at 60¢ despite the market already moving up.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $309,937 lifetime.
- They have traded across 117 sports events with the same strong 85% hit rate.
- Buying at 60¢ after a 9.5-point weekly move suggests continued confidence in the Over.
$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial sports whale
Profitable high-volume serial trader put $18.8k on Over, with a long record of 63% wins and $1.23M lifetime profit.
- This bettor has won 63% of 1,178 resolved bets and is up $1.23M lifetime.
- They put $18.8k on Over at 54–55¢, a large position for this market’s recent activity.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 348 events with nearly $4.8M tracked volume.
$18,846 on Over | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x9a3b...b968 — Outcome 17477134, $50,000
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 17477134, $20,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x9b12...5ee4 — Outcome 17477134, $12,325
- 0xadfa...324e — Outcome 17477134, $12,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x37d9...9b1e — Outcome 17477134, $11,653 (88% win rate)
- 0xf16e...43af — Outcome 17477134, $10,000 (47% win rate)
- 0xf6d0...9391 — Outcome 17477134, $8,739 (61% win rate)
- 0xec54...e8c1 — Outcome 17477134, $8,139 (78% win rate)
- 0x2586...c893 — Outcome 17477134, $7,100 (84% win rate)
- 0xdf78...ae9e — Outcome 17477134, $7,000 (100% win rate)
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