Part of: Ecuador vs. Germany - More Markets
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,562.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Under at 88¢ and immediately got strong closing-line movement to 96¢.
- This bettor has a huge track record, winning 69% of 2,515 resolved bets and earning $130k profit.
- They bought Under at 88¢ before the market moved to 96¢, showing strong immediate price confirmation.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader, with $1.2M deployed across 225 markets.
$3,100 on Under | Wallet win rate: 70%
Fresh wallet caught Under move
A 7-hour-old repeat wallet bought Under at 83¢ before a fast move to 94¢, alongside a pre-event volume spike and sharp price impact.
- A brand-new wallet is making repeated sizable bets, with $3.3K flagged across two trades.
- This Under buy at 83¢ quickly moved to 94¢, suggesting the bettor caught a strong late price shift.
- Market volume spiked 12.7x while the price moved sharply in the same direction.
$1,660 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Cross-market event bettor
High-volume bettor is expressing a cross-market Germany/Ecuador thesis, with $5.2k buying Under 4.5 before the price moved sharply higher.
- This bettor put $36.7k across six related markets in the same Germany/Ecuador event.
- They bought $5.2k of Under 4.5 at 78–79¢, and it has already moved to 84¢.
- The wallet is very active with 16,753 resolved bets, though its lifetime results are roughly breakeven to slightly negative.
$7,381 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Perfect-record bettor on Under
A proven sharp sports bettor with a perfect 30-for-30 resolved record bought Under, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is 30-for-30 on resolved bets and is up $24,876 lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side for about $21,000 total, adding confirmation to the Under move.
- They entered at 66¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢, suggesting strong early validation.
$1,101 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp Under cluster
High-conviction Under flow: 11 wallets bought the same side for $45k amid a 99x volume spike, including a bettor with a 92% record and $393k profit.
- 11 wallets put $45k on Under, with two wallets linked by the same funder.
- A proven bettor joined this side and wins 92% of resolved bets, up $393k lifetime.
- Volume jumped 99x before the match, suggesting a sudden wave of conviction on Under.
$45,063 on Under
Sharp cluster backing Under
High-conviction Under cluster with $50k one-sided flow, a major pre-event volume spike, and participation from highly profitable wallets.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $391k is effectively buying Under around 66¢.
- Six wallets put $50k on the same Under side as volume spiked 66x above normal.
- Under entries in the mid-to-high 60s have already moved to 74¢, showing strong market follow-through.
$50,257 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 16084879, $47,186 (62% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 16084879, $10,148 (55% win rate)
- 0x5b6e...f544 — Outcome 16084879, $7,580 (90% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 16084879, $7,239 (54% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 16084879, $5,743 (55% win rate)
- 0x39fc...e2f2 — Outcome 16084879, $5,304 (54% win rate)
- 0xc41e...e2e9 — Outcome 16084879, $3,000
- 0x8dee...412b — Outcome 16084879, $1,579 (97% win rate)
- 0x551c...fe91 — Outcome 16084879, $1,546 (72% win rate)
- 0x2843...0ac5 — Outcome 16084879, $1,111 (84% win rate)
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