Part of: England vs. Argentina - More Markets

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $156,450.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

$94K coordinated Under pivot

Five wallets sold $94k of Over into a 17.5-point move lower, effectively a coordinated Under pivot supported by heavy event-wide trading.

  • Five wallets moved the same way, selling $93.9K of Over within 17 minutes.
  • This is effectively an Under entry around 28¢ after Over fell 17.5 points in the past day.
  • The flow comes from active cross-market bettors, including one wallet with 793 resolved trades and a 78% win rate.

$93,439 on Under

Pregame coordinated flow

Surfacing due to a large pre-game cross-market position backed by 18-wallet one-sided flow and a sharp volume spike, though the wallet's own long-term P&L is not strong.

  • 18 wallets are betting the same event direction, totaling $338K in one-sided flow.
  • This wallet has put $101K across 6 markets in the same match, including Over positions that moved from 69–72¢ to 89¢.
  • Market volume spiked up to 60x normal before kickoff, suggesting a coordinated pre-game thesis.

$58,011 on Over | Wallet win rate: 66%

Serial 94% winner adding

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Over position despite the already-high 89¢ price.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $93.9K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 41 events and 58 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting pattern.
  • This is an add-on bet: they already held Over and just put another $5K in at 89¢.

$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 Under, $268,874 (54% win rate)
  2. 0x4f1a...bc89 Over, $93,982 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x076d...8d4c Under, $93,547 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x2cb1...95b6 Over, $50,000
  5. 0xa6cd...2f2c Over, $50,000 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x784b...2648 Over, $33,611 (41% win rate)
  7. 0xafe4...f3f7 Under, $32,000 (96% win rate)
  8. 0x2117...5c26 Over, $31,467 (43% win rate)
  9. 0x3f41...5ffc Over, $27,777 (70% win rate)
  10. 0x3cd6...18e4 Under, $26,094 (87% win rate)

Related Theses

France beats Spain 2-1

Covers 4 related markets

Both teams score, England advances

Covers 6 related markets

Someone wins two or three nil

Covers 3 related markets

Favorite wins 2026 World Cup

Covers 4 related markets

Korea-Czechia avoids a draw

Covers 3 related markets

Both teams won't score

Covers 1 related market

Norway scores in low scorer

Covers 3 related markets

Giants beat the Athletics

Covers 1 related market

Giants Diamondbacks go over 9.5

Covers 1 related market

Haiti will not lose

Covers 2 related markets

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

ResolvedEngland vs. Argentina - More Markets$156,450 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Argentina, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if England and Argentina combine to score 1 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 1, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Argentina
ARG
0
World Cup
Live
14'
England
ENG
0
ENG 8/5ARG 11/5
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Price History — “Over
92¢
88¢
84¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

2d ago

$93,439 on Under at 28¢

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

2d ago

$58,011 on Over at 89¢

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

3d ago

$5,000 on Over at 89¢

Related Theses