Part of: England vs. Argentina - More Markets
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $125,921.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp Under cluster
Large Under-aligned cluster with sharp-wallet participation and major volume/price movement is worth surfacing, though opposing Over flow makes it a conflicted signal.
- 22 wallets put $85K on Under, creating a strong same-direction move in a very active market.
- At least one bettor in the flow wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $283K lifetime.
- This market is seeing a 20.8x volume spike, but there is also sizable opposing Over flow.
$85,122 on Under
95% sports serial bettor
A serial sports bettor with a 95% resolved record is adding to an Over position, though the edge signal is modest and the market is very liquid.
- This bettor has won 39 of 41 resolved trades and is up $4.3K lifetime.
- They have traded across 28 sports events, suggesting a repeat process rather than a one-off bet.
- They are adding to an existing Over position at 68¢, matching their prior entry.
$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader is adding to an Over position while also betting related markets in the same event.
- This bettor has a 67% record across 208 resolved bets and is up $13.6K lifetime.
- They are active across related markets, with 29 prior events tracked and $267K in similar cross-market betting.
- This is an add-on to an existing Over position, raising their exposure at roughly the current market price.
$15,600 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%
Five-wallet Over cluster
Five wallets bought nearly $20K of Over at 68¢ during a 122x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet track records are mixed.
- Five wallets bought nearly $20K of Over at 68¢ within 20 minutes.
- Market volume is running 122x above its usual pace, and the flagged flow is all on the same side.
- Several buyers are heavy repeat sports traders, including two wallets that win 75% of resolved bets.
$23,199 on Over
Top Holders
- 0x5b4e...0232 — Outcome 34722693, $161,467 (95% win rate)
- 0xe5b7...5ee3 — Outcome 34722693, $63,942 (91% win rate)
- 0x67bf...f983 — Outcome 34722693, $40,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x613b...823a — Outcome 34722693, $39,434 (60% win rate)
- 0x56f4...9ec5 — Outcome 34722693, $34,418 (72% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 34722693, $32,004 (57% win rate)
- 0x8e68...5478 — Outcome 34722693, $25,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x4572...5e86 — Outcome 34722693, $23,250 (75% win rate)
- 0xf16e...43af — Outcome 34722693, $22,914 (41% win rate)
- 0x95f5...779f — Outcome 34722693, $21,644
Related Theses
England Argentina finish 1-1
Covers 3 related markets
France or Argentina win World Cup
Covers 4 related markets
Paraguay Australia goal fest
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One team wins to nil
Covers 2 related markets
Spain wins July 14
Covers 1 related market
Norway England sees multiple goals
Covers 1 related market
England Argentina surpass 1.5 goals
Covers 1 related market
Spain Belgium stays low scoring
Covers 2 related markets
Norway England draw one all
Covers 3 related markets
Spain-Belgium clears 2.5 goals
Covers 1 related market


