Part of: England vs. Ghana - More Markets
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $220,680.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Momentum flip into Under
High composite alert driven by a major pre-game odds collapse and volume spike, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term record and traded both sides.
- The market moved hard toward Under, with Over collapsing from around 65¢ to 8¢ after these trades.
- Volume is 105x above normal, suggesting a meaningful pre-game information shift rather than routine betting.
- The wallet’s record is not strong, but the latest and larger trades were $12k into Under before it moved to 92¢.
$12,045 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp bettor joins Under flow
A proven 87% winner with +$98k P&L exited Over, aligning with broader one-sided Under flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $98k lifetime.
- The trade is equivalent to backing Under at 60¢, better than the current 66¢ market price.
- Three wallets are leaning Under with $51.7k total, alongside a 35x volume spike.
$1,122 on Under | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp cluster buying Over
High-score pre-game cluster with multiple profitable sharp wallets buying Over, including an 89% winner with positive lifetime P&L and serial cross-market history.
- Several proven bettors joined the same side, including one who wins 89% of bets and is up $138k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought $40k of Over before kickoff, with most entries around 41¢ versus the current 34¢ market price.
- One participant is a serial cross-market trader across 73 events with an 89% win record.
$40,135 on Over
93% serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved-position hit rate bought nearly $30k of Over amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 28 of 30 resolved positions, with wins coming at roughly coin-flip prices on average.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events and 57 markets, with nearly $2.0M in tracked betting volume.
- The $29.8k Over buy came during a 174x pre-game volume spike, while the market has already moved up 5 points today.
$29,832 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%
94% winner buying Over
Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $1.76M profit is buying Over across this event amid a volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite one high-priced fill.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.76M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 642 markets traded across 341 events.
- They put $9.7k on Over while this market’s volume is running about 20x above normal.
$10,970 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner buying Over
Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $1.76M profit is buying Over across this event amid a volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite one high-priced fill.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.76M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 642 markets traded across 341 events.
- They put $9.7k on Over while this market’s volume is running about 20x above normal.
$9,726 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp cluster buying Under
High-conviction Under move led by multiple wallets, including two 94% winners, with $114k of one-sided buying and a sharp price move from the low 60s to 86¢.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 94% of their resolved trades, including one up $229k lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $114k, pushing Under from around the low 60s to 86¢.
- This is part of a broader event thesis, with sharp wallets trading 3 related markets and a strong historical record.
$114,225 on Under
Profitable serial sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a long, highly profitable track record is buying Under 3.5 at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
- They have traded across 196 events and 298 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Buying Under at 60¢ goes against recent Over momentum, so this looks like a deliberate value position.
$2,625 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 30222337, $135,000 (97% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 30222337, $119,048 (94% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 30222337, $55,000 (86% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 30222337, $50,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 30222337, $29,812 (71% win rate)
- 0xaa6f...1dfe — Outcome 30222337, $19,333 (67% win rate)
- 0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 30222337, $11,600 (47% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 30222337, $11,581 (94% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 30222337, $9,999 (85% win rate)
- 0xe881...19ab — Outcome 30222337, $6,752
Related Theses
Japan wins low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Iraq covers low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Croatia wins high-scoring blowout
Covers 3 related markets
Spain routs Saudi Arabia
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
England wins a high-scoring rout
Covers 5 related markets
Exactly four goals scored
Covers 4 related markets
Bosnia routs Qatar in shootout
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil wins high-scoring blowout
Covers 3 related markets
England routs Panama in goalfest
Covers 5 related markets


