Part of: England vs. Ghana - More Markets

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $220,680.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Momentum flip into Under

High composite alert driven by a major pre-game odds collapse and volume spike, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term record and traded both sides.

  • The market moved hard toward Under, with Over collapsing from around 65¢ to 8¢ after these trades.
  • Volume is 105x above normal, suggesting a meaningful pre-game information shift rather than routine betting.
  • The wallet’s record is not strong, but the latest and larger trades were $12k into Under before it moved to 92¢.

$12,045 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp bettor joins Under flow

A proven 87% winner with +$98k P&L exited Over, aligning with broader one-sided Under flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $98k lifetime.
  • The trade is equivalent to backing Under at 60¢, better than the current 66¢ market price.
  • Three wallets are leaning Under with $51.7k total, alongside a 35x volume spike.

$1,122 on Under | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp cluster buying Over

High-score pre-game cluster with multiple profitable sharp wallets buying Over, including an 89% winner with positive lifetime P&L and serial cross-market history.

  • Several proven bettors joined the same side, including one who wins 89% of bets and is up $138k lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought $40k of Over before kickoff, with most entries around 41¢ versus the current 34¢ market price.
  • One participant is a serial cross-market trader across 73 events with an 89% win record.

$40,135 on Over

93% serial sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved-position hit rate bought nearly $30k of Over amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 28 of 30 resolved positions, with wins coming at roughly coin-flip prices on average.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events and 57 markets, with nearly $2.0M in tracked betting volume.
  • The $29.8k Over buy came during a 174x pre-game volume spike, while the market has already moved up 5 points today.

$29,832 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%

94% winner buying Over

Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $1.76M profit is buying Over across this event amid a volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite one high-priced fill.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.76M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 642 markets traded across 341 events.
  • They put $9.7k on Over while this market’s volume is running about 20x above normal.

$10,970 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% winner buying Over

Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $1.76M profit is buying Over across this event amid a volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite one high-priced fill.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.76M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 642 markets traded across 341 events.
  • They put $9.7k on Over while this market’s volume is running about 20x above normal.

$9,726 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp cluster buying Under

High-conviction Under move led by multiple wallets, including two 94% winners, with $114k of one-sided buying and a sharp price move from the low 60s to 86¢.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 94% of their resolved trades, including one up $229k lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same side for $114k, pushing Under from around the low 60s to 86¢.
  • This is part of a broader event thesis, with sharp wallets trading 3 related markets and a strong historical record.

$114,225 on Under

Profitable serial sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a long, highly profitable track record is buying Under 3.5 at 60¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 196 events and 298 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
  • Buying Under at 60¢ goes against recent Over momentum, so this looks like a deliberate value position.

$2,625 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c1e...bab3 Outcome 30222337, $135,000 (97% win rate)
  2. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 30222337, $119,048 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 30222337, $55,000 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x7a88...41cc Outcome 30222337, $50,000 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 30222337, $29,812 (71% win rate)
  6. 0xaa6f...1dfe Outcome 30222337, $19,333 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x4408...1b6a Outcome 30222337, $11,600 (47% win rate)
  8. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 30222337, $11,581 (94% win rate)
  9. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 30222337, $9,999 (85% win rate)
  10. 0xe881...19ab Outcome 30222337, $6,752

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Croatia wins high-scoring blowout

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Belgium fails to win

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England wins a high-scoring rout

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Exactly four goals scored

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Bosnia routs Qatar in shootout

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England routs Panama in goalfest

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England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

ResolvedEngland vs. Ghana - More Markets$220,680 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Ghana, scheduled for June 23 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if England and Ghana combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Ghana
GHA
0
World Cup
Full Time
England
ENG
0
ENG 12/1GHA 40/1
Venue
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Attendance
63,983
Price History — “Under
95¢
76¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$12,045 on Under at 88¢

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$1,122 on Under at 60¢

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$40,135 on Over at 41¢

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$29,832 on Over at 41¢

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$10,970 on Over at 50¢

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$9,726 on Over at 50¢

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$114,225 on Under at 64¢

England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

8d ago

$2,625 on Under at 60¢

Related Theses