Part of: Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi
Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi
This Polymarket market covers the Erste Bank Open match between Luciano Darderi and Matteo Arnaldi, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; current odds are not included in the available market data, and the rules cite November 10, 2026 as the outcome deadline.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Matteo Arnaldi in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,175.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Three-wallet cluster with proven bettors
Three wallets collectively bought Darderi, including bettors with strong profitable records, and one has an 83% win rate across 397 resolved positions.
- Three wallets put about $6,600 on Darderi, with entries from 45¢ to 57¢.
- One bettor is up $1.19M after 397 resolved positions, with an 83% win rate.
- Another has won 67 of 68 resolved positions, though at a much higher average winning price of 82¢.
$6,609 on Luciano Darderi
Profitable bettor adding to Darderi position
A highly profitable bettor with 76% wins and substantial lifetime profit added $9,566 to an existing Darderi position amid a 61.7x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 102 of 135 resolved trades and is up $417,354 overall.
- They added $9,566 to an existing Darderi position, bringing their reported investment to $38,544.
- Trading volume spiked 61.7x its 24-hour average, though the current price has slipped below their 50¢ entry.
$9,566 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Matteo Arnaldi, $35,930 (64% win rate)
- 0x86eb...6566 — Matteo Arnaldi, $14,772 (71% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Matteo Arnaldi, $9,569 (69% win rate)
- 0x7609...6c4e — Matteo Arnaldi, $3,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xcf0c...f2bb — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,786 (71% win rate)
- 0xa6de...256c — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,659
- 0xe5b3...49f8 — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,642 (78% win rate)
- 0xbf55...6759 — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,538
- 0xf519...906b — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,187 (78% win rate)
- 0xffb9...390a — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,179
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