Part of: Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,432.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
99% winner adding to Machac
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a Machac position amid an extraordinary pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,071 resolved markets and is up $116,372.
- They are adding $1,000 to an existing Machac position at 56¢.
- Market activity is 177.8 times its historical average, adding support to the move.
$1,143 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 99%
Four-wallet Machac buying amid volume surge
A sharp volume surge and price move accompany four wallets buying Machac, though a larger opposing De Minaur cluster makes the signal contested.
- Four wallets put about $6,800 into Machac, with entries averaging roughly 59¢.
- Trading volume spiked 242× above its historical average as the market moved toward Machac.
- The signal is contested: six other wallets bought De Minaur for about $40,000.
$15,580 on Tomas Machac
99% winner adding to Machac
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a Machac position amid an extraordinary pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,071 resolved markets and is up $116,372.
- They are adding $1,000 to an existing Machac position at 56¢.
- Market activity is 177.8 times its historical average, adding support to the move.
$1,000 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 99%
Five-wallet cluster with proven winners
Five wallets bought $29,267 of Alex de Minaur amid a major volume spike, including multiple consistently profitable bettors with strong records against their average odds.
- Five wallets put a combined $29,267 on Alex de Minaur, including repeat additions to existing positions.
- Several participants have strong records: one wins 83% of bets at an average entry price of 52%, and another wins 75% at 51%.
- The buys coincided with a 177.8× volume spike; the group’s weighted entry was about 46¢.
$6,858 on Alex de Minaur
Proven serial trader backs Machac
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and $4.34M lifetime profit placed a sizable bet on Tomas Machac at 31¢.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,216 resolved trades and is up $4.34M.
- They put $2,851 on Tomas Machac at 31¢, despite the market giving him roughly a 32% chance.
- The trader has positioned across 958 events, suggesting a sustained, experienced approach.
$2,851 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 83%
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