Part of: Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche
This Polymarket tennis market tracks whether Andrey Rublev or Luca Van Assche advances in their Estoril Open match, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. The market has $68,416 in tracked smart money and one signal, with live odds reflecting trader expectations; it resolves by July 31, 2026 if a winner is determined.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $138,252.
Categories: Games, Sports, Tennis
Notable Trades
13-wallet cluster backs Luca Van Assche
A linked 13-wallet cluster deployed $68,416 on Luca Van Assche as a 100x volume spike drove his odds from roughly 61% to 77%, with several highly profitable traders involved.
- Thirteen linked wallets bought $68,416 of Luca Van Assche, creating a highly concentrated directional signal.
- The move coincided with a 100.7x historical volume spike and Luca's odds rising to 77%.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including a bettor with 95% wins across 44 resolved positions and another with 99% across 1,068.
$68,416 on Luca Van Assche
Perfect-record serial bettor adds to Rublev
A proven 100% win-rate trader with a substantial edge added $10,000 to an existing Rublev position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 52 of 52 resolved positions, earning $149,856 while entering at an average 56% price.
- They added $10,000 to an existing Rublev position at 80%, signaling increased conviction as the market moved to 88%.
- The market saw an 888x historical volume spike, adding strong confirmation to the trade.
$5,591 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 94%
93% winner scaling into Rublev
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $2,000 to an existing Rublev position during a 217.8x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 93% of 87 resolved trades and is up $88,876 lifetime.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing Rublev position rather than making a one-off wager.
- The market saw a 217.8x historical volume spike, supporting the significance of this positioning.
$5,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 93%
Perfect-record serial bettor adds to Rublev
A proven 100% win-rate trader with a substantial edge added $10,000 to an existing Rublev position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 52 of 52 resolved positions, earning $149,856 while entering at an average 56% price.
- They added $10,000 to an existing Rublev position at 80%, signaling increased conviction as the market moved to 88%.
- The market saw an 888x historical volume spike, adding strong confirmation to the trade.
$10,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 94%
Rublev volume-spike bettor
A profitable but not elite serial trader placed an $8.6k Rublev bet amid an extraordinary 888x pre-event volume spike, with the price subsequently rising from 80% to 88%.
- An $8,641 bet on Andrey Rublev helped accompany a surge 888 times larger than the market’s historical trading average.
- The position moved from 80% to 88%, supporting the direction of the trade.
- This serial trader is up $577,195 lifetime across 512 resolved bets, though the 59% win rate is not exceptional.
$8,641 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 60%
93% winner scaling into Rublev
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $2,000 to an existing Rublev position during a 217.8x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 93% of 87 resolved trades and is up $88,876 lifetime.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing Rublev position rather than making a one-off wager.
- The market saw a 217.8x historical volume spike, supporting the significance of this positioning.
$2,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 93%
Proven tennis bettor buys Rublev
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and $663K profit made a $5,000 Rublev purchase during a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,010 resolved trades and is up $663,000 lifetime.
- A $5,000 Rublev purchase arrived amid a 218x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong event-specific interest.
- The 86¢ entry is above the current 80¢ market price, so the trade is now underwater but reflects high conviction from a proven trader.
$5,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 83%
Coordinated Rublev buying cluster
Four wallets concentrated $12.4K on Rublev, including a highly profitable 82% winner and a serial cross-market trader, although the position has since fallen from roughly 85¢ to 74¢.
- Four wallets bought $12,402 of Rublev at 82–86¢, creating a strong one-sided tennis signal.
- One participant wins 82% of 1,010 resolved bets and is up $663K, while another serial trader has an 82% win rate across 886 events.
- The market has since dropped to 74¢, so the coordinated buyers are currently underwater and the signal should be treated cautiously.
$33,604 on Andrey Rublev
Top Holders
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 63513622, $50,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 63513622, $31,281 (96% win rate)
- 0xef53...4591 — Outcome 63513622, $24,739 (94% win rate)
- 0xaaa3...e22b — Outcome 63513622, $17,758 (97% win rate)
- 0xf837...bd42 — Outcome 63513622, $13,574 (93% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 63513622, $10,843 (83% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 63513622, $10,807 (60% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 63513622, $6,126 (63% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 63513622, $6,000 (79% win rate)
- 0xdd25...a624 — Outcome 63513622, $5,687 (72% win rate)
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