Part of: Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet
This tennis prediction market covers the Estoril Open match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Kyrian Jacquet, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by July 28, 2026; PolySpotter tracks $30,129 in smart money and three signals for this market.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,652.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp serial bettor buys Daniel Merida Aguilar
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $3,329 buy amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of trades across 186 resolved positions and is up $188,610.
- The $3,329 buy at 58¢ is a fresh position from a trader whose average odds are around 41%, indicating meaningful historical edge.
- Market volume spiked 154.8x its historical average as this bettor backed Daniel Merida Aguilar.
$3,329 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 82%
96% winner backs Kyrian Jacquet
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.37M profit made a concentrated $16,800 wager on Kyrian Jacquet amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 144 of 150 resolved positions and earned $5.37M in profit.
- They made a fresh $16,800 bet on Kyrian Jacquet at 47%, despite the market currently pricing him near 43%.
- Trading volume was 113.8 times its historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$25,800 on Kyrian Jacquet | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp tennis bettor scaling into Kyrian
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Kyrian Jacquet position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 79% of 522 resolved bets and is up $147,506 lifetime.
- The trader is adding to an existing Kyrian Jacquet position at 40¢ despite the market moving to 34¢.
- Market volume has surged to $326,092, more than 100 times its historical average.
$1,000 on Kyrian Jacquet | Wallet win rate: 79%
96% winner backs Kyrian Jacquet
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.37M profit made a concentrated $16,800 wager on Kyrian Jacquet amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 144 of 150 resolved positions and earned $5.37M in profit.
- They made a fresh $16,800 bet on Kyrian Jacquet at 47%, despite the market currently pricing him near 43%.
- Trading volume was 113.8 times its historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$16,800 on Kyrian Jacquet | Wallet win rate: 96%
97% winner adds to tennis position
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 97% win rate is adding nearly $4,000 to an existing Daniel Merida Aguilar position at 71 cents.
- This bettor has won 386 of 396 resolved trades and is up $349,018 lifetime.
- They have placed $1.07 million across 415 markets, showing a sustained cross-market track record rather than a one-off bet.
- The $3,944 purchase adds to an existing $9,726 position, signaling increased conviction in Daniel Merida Aguilar at 71 cents.
$3,944 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable bettor scales into Jacquet
A profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding a large $3,998 position to an existing Kyrian Jacquet underdog bet in a thin market.
- This bettor is up $186,493 across 151 resolved bets, with a 58% win rate at an average winning entry of 46¢.
- The new $3,998 buy is more than 10 times the market's reported 24-hour volume and adds to a $12,500 Kyrian position.
- The bettor has traded 96 events, suggesting this is a deliberate cross-market thesis rather than a one-off wager.
$2,782 on Kyrian Jacquet | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable bettor scales into Jacquet
A profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding a large $3,998 position to an existing Kyrian Jacquet underdog bet in a thin market.
- This bettor is up $186,493 across 151 resolved bets, with a 58% win rate at an average winning entry of 46¢.
- The new $3,998 buy is more than 10 times the market's reported 24-hour volume and adds to a $12,500 Kyrian position.
- The bettor has traded 96 events, suggesting this is a deliberate cross-market thesis rather than a one-off wager.
$3,998 on Kyrian Jacquet | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 69706224, $64,695 (63% win rate)
- 0x7879...3653 — Outcome 69706224, $9,726 (97% win rate)
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 69706224, $8,200 (82% win rate)
- 0xff81...44c9 — Outcome 69706224, $7,036 (55% win rate)
- 0xab6a...2978 — Outcome 69706224, $5,900 (96% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 69706224, $4,308 (69% win rate)
- 0x54a3...9b39 — Outcome 69706224, $3,704 (91% win rate)
- 0xb00c...dfa2 — Outcome 69706224, $2,351 (100% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 69706224, $2,158 (79% win rate)
- 0x7e4d...b4ca — Outcome 69706224, $1,600 (95% win rate)
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