Part of: Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx
This Polymarket market covers the Estoril Open tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Alexander Blockx, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. It resolves to the player who advances; smart money activity totals $13,300, with signals backing both Blockx and Van Assche.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $122,346.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner backs Luca Van Assche
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.8M lifetime profit made an $18,800 concentrated bet on Luca Van Assche amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 155 of 162 resolved positions and is up $5.8M lifetime.
- They concentrated $18,800 on Luca Van Assche at 42¢, despite the market pricing him as a 42% underdog.
- Trading across 515 events with a 96% win rate, this wallet’s fresh position coincided with a 430x volume spike.
$13,300 on Luca Van Assche | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp bettors back Blockx
Four wallets directed $55.7K toward Alexander Blockx, including two exceptionally profitable bettors, though the largest trade was profit-taking from an existing Luca position.
- Two bettors with 93% and 96% win rates bought or effectively bought Alexander Blockx around 31–33¢.
- Four wallets concentrated $55,716 on Blockx while the market moved sharply, signaling unusually strong directional conviction.
- The largest $44,568 trade was a Luca sell from an existing position, so part of the flow reflects profit-taking rather than entirely fresh conviction.
$41,808 on Alexander Blockx
Sharp bettor scaling into Van Assche
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 81% win rate is adding $3,000 to an existing Luca Van Assche position at 43%.
- This bettor has won 81% of 286 resolved trades and earned $218,566 in profit.
- The wallet is adding $3,000 to an existing Van Assche position, signaling increased conviction at 43%.
- The entry price implies roughly a 2.3x payout if Van Assche advances.
$3,000 on Luca Van Assche | Wallet win rate: 80%
96% winner backs Luca Van Assche
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.8M lifetime profit made an $18,800 concentrated bet on Luca Van Assche amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 155 of 162 resolved positions and is up $5.8M lifetime.
- They concentrated $18,800 on Luca Van Assche at 42¢, despite the market pricing him as a 42% underdog.
- Trading across 515 events with a 96% win rate, this wallet’s fresh position coincided with a 430x volume spike.
$18,800 on Luca Van Assche | Wallet win rate: 96%
81% winner backs Blockx
A highly experienced bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $30,000 bet on Alexander Blockx at 60%.
- This bettor wins 81% of trades across 332 resolved positions and is up $3.58 million.
- A $30,000 purchase of Alexander Blockx represents concentrated conviction in the 60% favorite.
- The wallet has traded 656 markets across 579 events, providing a strong and unusually large sample of demonstrated edge.
$30,000 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 81%
Four-wallet Blockx conviction cluster
A profitable bettor is adding $9,439 to an existing Alexander Blockx position while four linked wallets show coordinated conviction in a thin market.
- Four linked wallets share a funder and have committed $9,439 to Alexander Blockx.
- This bettor is adding to an existing position at 62¢, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The wallet has won 62% of 34 resolved bets and is up $84,816 overall.
$6,000 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 62%
Four-wallet Blockx conviction cluster
A profitable bettor is adding $9,439 to an existing Alexander Blockx position while four linked wallets show coordinated conviction in a thin market.
- Four linked wallets share a funder and have committed $9,439 to Alexander Blockx.
- This bettor is adding to an existing position at 62¢, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The wallet has won 62% of 34 resolved bets and is up $84,816 overall.
$9,439 on Alexander Blockx | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x5291...d4b6 — Outcome 10570514, $104,201 (100% win rate)
- 0xef53...4591 — Outcome 10570514, $76,609 (93% win rate)
- 0xcf98...6e0a — Outcome 10570514, $62,032 (62% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 10570514, $50,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10570514, $20,532 (63% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 10570514, $18,580 (58% win rate)
- 0x9c82...1f13 — Outcome 10570514, $16,392 (60% win rate)
- 0xd575...e017 — Outcome 10570514, $11,027 (76% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 93769061, $9,556 (62% win rate)
- 0xcbec...808b — Outcome 10570514, $8,112 (73% win rate)
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