Part of: Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta
This Estoril Open prediction market covers the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution planned for July 29, 2026; current odds were not included in the provided data. PolySpotter tracks $15,149 in smart money across three signals, with recent activity leaning toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,435.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% win-rate bettor adds to Pablo
A highly successful serial bettor with a 91% win rate is adding to an existing Pablo Carreno Busta position despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 67 of 74 resolved trades, with $42,869 in lifetime profit and a 32% edge over average odds.
- The $3,642 purchase adds to an existing $5,536 Pablo Carreno Busta position, signaling continued conviction despite the price falling from 66¢ to 58¢.
- This wallet has traded across 34 events with the same 91% win rate, making the position more credible than a one-off wager.
$3,642 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 91%
85% winner scaling into Pablo
A serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate is adding to an existing Pablo Carreno Busta position, though the trade is less attractive after the price fell from 69¢ to 58¢.
- This bettor has won 85% of 53 resolved trades and is up $16,234 lifetime.
- The wallet trades across 32 events and is adding to its existing Pablo Carreno Busta position, signaling continued conviction.
- The 69¢ entry now looks expensive versus the 58¢ market price, so copying only makes sense near the original entry or lower.
$2,932 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor scaling into Pablo
A proven 83% winner with a 24-point edge is adding to a Pablo Carreno Busta position alongside two other wallets, though all three already held the outcome.
- This bettor wins 83% of 193 resolved bets and is up $46,002, while typically winning at a 60¢ average price.
- Three wallets added $3,816 to Pablo Carreno Busta at 65–68¢, reinforcing the 66% market price.
- All three wallets already held Pablo positions, so this signals increased conviction rather than a wholly new thesis.
$14,542 on Pablo Carreno Busta
Profitable serial sports trader backs Van Assche
A highly experienced sports trader with 889 resolved bets, a 76% win rate, and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,218 wager on Luca Van Assche at 33%.
- This bettor has won 76% of 889 resolved bets and is up $2.19 million.
- The trader’s results beat their average entry odds by roughly 23 percentage points, indicating a meaningful edge.
- A fresh $3,218 bet backs Luca Van Assche at 33%, despite the market pricing him as a 34% underdog.
$3,218 on Luca Van Assche | Wallet win rate: 77%
Proven serial bettor adding to Pablo
A highly experienced bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Pablo Carreno Busta position at 68%.
- This bettor wins 83% of 193 resolved trades and is up $46,002 overall.
- Their results imply a meaningful edge: 83% wins against an average entry price of 59%.
- The $1,100 buy adds to an existing Pablo Carreno Busta position at 68%, signaling continued conviction.
$1,100 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 72194760, $49,721 (96% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 72194760, $16,774 (63% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 72194760, $8,640 (81% win rate)
- 0xc293...fac3 — Outcome 72194760, $8,198 (88% win rate)
- 0x54a3...9b39 — Outcome 72194760, $5,536 (91% win rate)
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 72194760, $3,700 (73% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 72194760, $3,676 (83% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 72194760, $3,483 (58% win rate)
- 0xb00c...dfa2 — Outcome 72194760, $2,803 (100% win rate)
- 0x693b...84e3 — Outcome 72194760, $2,154 (71% win rate)
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