Part of: Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta

This Estoril Open prediction market covers the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution planned for July 29, 2026; current odds were not included in the provided data. PolySpotter tracks $15,149 in smart money across three signals, with recent activity leaning toward Pablo Carreno Busta.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,435.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

91% win-rate bettor adds to Pablo

A highly successful serial bettor with a 91% win rate is adding to an existing Pablo Carreno Busta position despite the market moving against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 67 of 74 resolved trades, with $42,869 in lifetime profit and a 32% edge over average odds.
  • The $3,642 purchase adds to an existing $5,536 Pablo Carreno Busta position, signaling continued conviction despite the price falling from 66¢ to 58¢.
  • This wallet has traded across 34 events with the same 91% win rate, making the position more credible than a one-off wager.

$3,642 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 91%

85% winner scaling into Pablo

A serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate is adding to an existing Pablo Carreno Busta position, though the trade is less attractive after the price fell from 69¢ to 58¢.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 53 resolved trades and is up $16,234 lifetime.
  • The wallet trades across 32 events and is adding to its existing Pablo Carreno Busta position, signaling continued conviction.
  • The 69¢ entry now looks expensive versus the 58¢ market price, so copying only makes sense near the original entry or lower.

$2,932 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor scaling into Pablo

A proven 83% winner with a 24-point edge is adding to a Pablo Carreno Busta position alongside two other wallets, though all three already held the outcome.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 193 resolved bets and is up $46,002, while typically winning at a 60¢ average price.
  • Three wallets added $3,816 to Pablo Carreno Busta at 65–68¢, reinforcing the 66% market price.
  • All three wallets already held Pablo positions, so this signals increased conviction rather than a wholly new thesis.

$14,542 on Pablo Carreno Busta

Profitable serial sports trader backs Van Assche

A highly experienced sports trader with 889 resolved bets, a 76% win rate, and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,218 wager on Luca Van Assche at 33%.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 889 resolved bets and is up $2.19 million.
  • The trader’s results beat their average entry odds by roughly 23 percentage points, indicating a meaningful edge.
  • A fresh $3,218 bet backs Luca Van Assche at 33%, despite the market pricing him as a 34% underdog.

$3,218 on Luca Van Assche | Wallet win rate: 77%

Proven serial bettor adding to Pablo

A highly experienced bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Pablo Carreno Busta position at 68%.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 193 resolved trades and is up $46,002 overall.
  • Their results imply a meaningful edge: 83% wins against an average entry price of 59%.
  • The $1,100 buy adds to an existing Pablo Carreno Busta position at 68%, signaling continued conviction.

$1,100 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc430...1ebf Outcome 72194760, $49,721 (96% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 72194760, $16,774 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 72194760, $8,640 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xc293...fac3 Outcome 72194760, $8,198 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x54a3...9b39 Outcome 72194760, $5,536 (91% win rate)
  6. 0x27b0...fc67 Outcome 72194760, $3,700 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x479e...91c3 Outcome 72194760, $3,676 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 72194760, $3,483 (58% win rate)
  9. 0xb00c...dfa2 Outcome 72194760, $2,803 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x693b...84e3 Outcome 72194760, $2,154 (71% win rate)

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Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta

15hEstoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta$25,435 tracked5 signalsTennisGamesSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Luca Van Assche. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Pablo Carreno Busta
69¢
66¢
63¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta

5d ago

$3,642 on Pablo Carreno Busta at 66¢

Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta

5d ago

$2,932 on Pablo Carreno Busta at 69¢

Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta

5d ago

$14,542 on Pablo Carreno Busta at 68¢

Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta

5d ago

$3,218 on Luca Van Assche at 33¢

Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta

5d ago

$1,100 on Pablo Carreno Busta at 68¢

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