Part of: Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Estoril Open match between Stan Wawrinka and Roman Andres Burruchaga, scheduled for July 20, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled for July 27, 2026; recent smart money activity has favored Burruchaga.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,926.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sharp bettor backs Burruchaga
A highly experienced serial trader with a 77% win rate made a fresh $1,000 bet, although the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor has won 77% of 868 resolved trades and earned $459,095 in P&L.
- The wallet actively trades across 726 markets and 574 events, providing a substantial record behind this position.
- Burruchaga was bought at 80¢ but is now priced near 59¢, so the market move does not yet validate the bet.
$1,000 on Roman Andres Burruchaga | Wallet win rate: 77%
Proven serial bettor backs Burruchaga
A highly experienced bettor with 1,017 resolved trades and a substantial edge newly backed Burruchaga at 72%, while rotating out of Wawrinka.
- This bettor wins 79% of 1,017 resolved trades and has earned $564,649.
- They newly bought Burruchaga at 72%, and the position has risen to 78%.
- The $3,600 trade follows a rotation out of their earlier Wawrinka position, signaling a strengthened view on Burruchaga.
$3,600 on Roman Andres Burruchaga | Wallet win rate: 79%
96% winner scaling into Burruchaga
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a large Burruchaga position despite the market moving against it.
- This bettor has won 191 of 198 resolved trades, earning $695,561 while buying at average odds near 79%.
- The wallet has traded across 175 events and is adding to an existing $16,658 Burruchaga position at 77¢.
- The market now prices Burruchaga at 68%, making this a high-conviction position that has moved against the bettor.
$12,826 on Roman Andres Burruchaga | Wallet win rate: 97%
Two elite bettors back Burruchaga
Three wallets placed $20,210 on Burruchaga, including two highly profitable bettors with 94-96% win rates, amid a 518x volume spike.
- Two bettors with 94% and 96% win rates are adding to their Burruchaga positions.
- Three wallets committed $20,210 in the same direction during a 518x historical volume spike.
- The dominant bettor is up $696,000 across 198 resolved positions, making this more than a routine large bet.
$10,047 on Roman Andres Burruchaga
94% win-rate bettor scaling Burruchaga
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Burruchaga position at 73%.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved positions and is up $17,766.
- They are adding $2,453 to an existing $3,360 Burruchaga position, showing increased conviction.
- The 73¢ entry has already moved to 76%, while the market remains liquid with a 1¢ spread.
$2,453 on Roman Andres Burruchaga | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 32115979, $113,640 (63% win rate)
- 0xfab7...0dde — Outcome 32115979, $10,999
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 32115979, $8,001 (81% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 32115979, $6,000 (55% win rate)
- 0xbf44...71a4 — Outcome 32115979, $5,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 32115979, $2,125
- 0x4da6...3a54 — Outcome 32115979, $1,289
- 0x50b9...4467 — Outcome 32115979, $1,266 (56% win rate)
- 0xb1a0...fb89 — Outcome 32115979, $1,251
- 0xb729...4e2e — Outcome 32115979, $962 (81% win rate)
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