Part of: Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston

Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Estoril Open match between Tiago Torres and Hugo Gaston, scheduled for July 24, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with the market set to resolve by July 31, 2026; smart money activity includes signals backing both players.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,740.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader backs Gaston amid volume surge

A serial, highly profitable trader placed a meaningful $4.6K bet on Gaston amid an extraordinary pre-event volume surge, though their broad win rate is only moderately above market expectations.

  • A $4,585 buy on Hugo Gaston helped accompany a 1,254x spike versus historical market volume.
  • This trader has won 63% of 28,180 resolved bets and is up $26.0M lifetime.
  • Gaston is priced at 69¢, with the market already moving 4 percentage points higher over the past day.

$4,292 on Hugo Gaston | Wallet win rate: 63%

95% winner buys Torres

An exceptionally profitable tennis bettor with a 95% win rate made a fresh $2,064 contrarian buy amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 41 of 43 resolved positions and earned over $1.02 million.
  • They placed a fresh $2,064 buy on Tiago Torres at 36%, despite current odds near 30%.
  • Trading volume was over 1,200 times its historical average, adding significance to the move.

$2,064 on Tiago Torres | Wallet win rate: 96%

Serial trader backs Gaston amid volume surge

A serial, highly profitable trader placed a meaningful $4.6K bet on Gaston amid an extraordinary pre-event volume surge, though their broad win rate is only moderately above market expectations.

  • A $4,585 buy on Hugo Gaston helped accompany a 1,254x spike versus historical market volume.
  • This trader has won 63% of 28,180 resolved bets and is up $26.0M lifetime.
  • Gaston is priced at 69¢, with the market already moving 4 percentage points higher over the past day.

$4,585 on Hugo Gaston | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp cluster backing Tiago Torres

Four wallets, including a highly profitable 95% winner, bought Tiago Torres in a 1,506x pre-event volume surge despite the market pricing him at only 24%.

  • Four wallets committed $8,799 to Tiago Torres, including a bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.02M profit.
  • Trading surged to 1,506 times its historical average, indicating concentrated pre-match conviction.
  • The buys entered around 32–36¢ while Tiago Torres is now priced at 24%, creating a potentially favorable but unconfirmed entry.

$8,799 on Tiago Torres

Top Holders

  1. 0xc430...1ebf Outcome 10410580, $82,413 (96% win rate)
  2. 0xdbdd...a5de Outcome 10410580, $5,724 (56% win rate)
  3. 0x24c7...77c4 Outcome 10410580, $5,000 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x54ba...04e4 Outcome 10410580, $4,314 (79% win rate)
  5. 0x8c3a...eb16 Outcome 10410580, $4,000
  6. 0x4699...5051 Outcome 10410580, $2,837 (9% win rate)
  7. 0x3453...8524 Outcome 10410580, $2,080 (95% win rate)
  8. 0x61f1...7aef Outcome 10410580, $2,080 (90% win rate)
  9. 0x5f11...4529 Outcome 10410580, $1,667 (64% win rate)
  10. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 10410580, $1,246 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston

2dEstoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston$19,740 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Torres and Hugo Gaston in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Torres' if Tiago Torres advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Tiago Torres. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Hugo Gaston
97¢
83¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston

4d ago

$4,292 on Hugo Gaston at 69¢

Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston

4d ago

$2,064 on Tiago Torres at 36¢

Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston

4d ago

$4,585 on Hugo Gaston at 69¢

Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gaston

4d ago

$8,799 on Tiago Torres at 35¢

Related Theses