Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on April 21?

Ethereum Up or Down on April 21?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,885.

Categories: Up or Down, Daily-Close, Today 🚀, Crypto, Ethereum, Recurring, Daily, Crypto Prices

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer flip

A high-volume serial timer with $115k lifetime profit flipped from buying Down minutes before resolution to buying Up right after, capturing a 32-point late move in a same-day ETH market.

This wallet has 2,572 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and $115k lifetime profit
They regularly bet near resolution across 6 markets and hit this one during a 32-point late price swing
The final buy was Up at 74¢, which quickly became a winner as the market resolved at 100¢

$6,644 on Up | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial event trader

Surface this alert because a very active cross-market trader with a large resolved sample and six-figure profits bought into a market that had just broken sharply upward in price, suggesting momentum conviction despite the small ticket size.

This bettor has 2,544 resolved trades, wins 66% of them, and is up $111k lifetime
They trade across many related markets: 56 events and 79 markets for $279k total volume
They bought Down at 64¢ after a sharp price breakout, showing willingness to chase a strong move

$1,241 on Down | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

0x4ee2...46e1 — Outcome 19856721, $3,138 (66% win rate)
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 19856721, $2,213
0x4346...0f02 — Outcome 19856721, $1,049
0x8ff0...a0ed — Outcome 19856721, $1,000
0xcbf4...77c8 — Outcome 19856721, $438
0x92aa...0341 — Outcome 19856721, $366
0xc9d0...97de — Outcome 19856721, $324 (43% win rate)
0x2877...dab0 — Outcome 19856721, $170
0xb41d...a0ec — Outcome 19856721, $159
0x46b3...d3de — Outcome 19856721, $30

Related Theses

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Ethereum stays rangebound near $1,900

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Bitcoin reaches 68K without dipping

Covers 5 related markets

Bitcoin swings between $59k and $65k

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Ethereum drops to $2,000

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Ethereum dips but stays rangebound

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Ethereum Up or Down on April 21?

ResolvedEthereum Up or Down on April 21?$7,885 tracked2 signalsUp or DownDaily-CloseToday 🚀CryptoEthereumRecurringDailyCrypto PricesHide From New

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.