Ethereum Up or Down on April 21?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,885.
Categories: Up or Down, Daily-Close, Today 🚀, Crypto, Ethereum, Recurring, Daily, Crypto Prices
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer flip
A high-volume serial timer with $115k lifetime profit flipped from buying Down minutes before resolution to buying Up right after, capturing a 32-point late move in a same-day ETH market.
- This wallet has 2,572 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and $115k lifetime profit
- They regularly bet near resolution across 6 markets and hit this one during a 32-point late price swing
- The final buy was Up at 74¢, which quickly became a winner as the market resolved at 100¢
$6,644 on Up | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial event trader
Surface this alert because a very active cross-market trader with a large resolved sample and six-figure profits bought into a market that had just broken sharply upward in price, suggesting momentum conviction despite the small ticket size.
- This bettor has 2,544 resolved trades, wins 66% of them, and is up $111k lifetime
- They trade across many related markets: 56 events and 79 markets for $279k total volume
- They bought Down at 64¢ after a sharp price breakout, showing willingness to chase a strong move
$1,241 on Down | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x55be...dca3 — Down, $5,952 (55% win rate)
- 0xec8f...8df8 — Up, $5,042
- 0x056d...0179 — Down, $4,475 (100% win rate)
- 0x06dc...4524 — Up, $3,889 (66% win rate)
- 0x4ee2...46e1 — Down, $3,138 (66% win rate)
- 0xe5f8...8d75 — Up, $2,676
- 0xa806...2c7c — Down, $2,518
- 0x4060...3ec3 — Up, $2,423 (93% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Up, $2,124 (60% win rate)
- 0x45b2...cbc1 — Up, $1,998 (15% win rate)
