Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?
This Polymarket prediction market asks whether Ethereum will close higher or lower at noon ET on May 10, 2026 compared with the noon ET Binance ETH/USDT close on May 9. It resolves using the final close prices of the relevant Binance 1-minute candles, with $1,496 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently flagged by PolySpotter.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,336.
Categories: Ethereum, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial crypto trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history is buying ETH Up at 86%, though the edge is modest because the market is liquid and near current odds.
- This bettor has a long track record: 3,084 resolved trades, 66% winners, and $227K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 96 events with nearly $497K flagged in similar positioning.
- Entry at 86¢ is slightly below the current 89¢ odds, suggesting modest positive momentum on ETH Up.
$1,496 on Up | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable record bought Up at 83% on a liquid ETH daily market that has already moved to 86%.
- This bettor has a large track record: 3,084 resolved bets, 66% winners, and $227K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 96 events, with nearly $496K recently deployed across related markets.
- Bought Up at 83¢ and the market has already moved to 86¢, matching strong 1-day momentum.
$1,348 on Up | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history bought Up after a large 1-day price move, though the entry is on a high-probability favorite.
- This bettor has a large track record: 3,084 resolved trades, 66% winners, and $227K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 96 events with nearly $494K flagged in this pattern.
- ETH Up has already moved 33.5 points today, and this buy at 84¢ follows that strong momentum.
$1,411 on Up | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial event trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large long-term sample and positive P&L bought Up ahead of resolution, though the edge is modest and entry is at high odds.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 3,084 resolved trades, 66% winners, and about $227k profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 96 events with nearly $490k in similar event positioning.
- Bought Up at 82¢ before it moved to 84¢, matching strong market momentum over the past day.
$1,398 on Up | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history is buying Up on ETH, though the edge is modest and entry is slightly above current odds.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 66% wins across 3,084 resolved bets and $227K in profit.
- They trade broadly across events, with 96 prior event theses and nearly $489K flagged in cross-market activity.
- Entry at 83¢ is above the current 79¢ market price, so the copy setup is better only if available near or below current odds.
$1,468 on Up | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history bought Up on ETH after strong momentum, though the edge is moderate because the entry is a high 77¢ favorite.
- This bettor has a large track record: 3,084 resolved bets, 66% wins, and about $227K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 96 events, with nearly $485K recently tracked in this pattern.
- Bought Up at 77¢ after the market moved sharply higher over the day, with current odds around 79¢.
$1,159 on Up | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history is buying Up in an ETH daily market after strong momentum, though the signal is moderate and the edge is partly from high-probability entries.
- This bettor has a long record: 3,084 resolved trades, a 66% win rate, and $227K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 95 events with nearly $484K flagged in related positioning.
- Buying Up at 73¢ follows a 25-point move toward Up over the last day.
$1,056 on Up | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x06dc...4524 — Up, $45,843 (66% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Down, $39,712 (60% win rate)
- 0x80cd...0273 — Down, $7,851 (56% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...e6a1 — Down, $1,980 (54% win rate)
- 0xe907...cff6 — Up, $1,682 (46% win rate)
- 0xa806...2c7c — Up, $1,313
- 0x29c3...26b9 — Up, $1,103
- 0x997d...decf — Down, $711 (52% win rate)
- 0x71a4...4a39 — Down, $596
- 0x79cf...91ab — Up, $408
