Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?
Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?
This Polymarket-style Ethereum market predicts whether ETH/USDT will be up or down at the May 11, 2026 noon ET Binance 1-minute close compared with the May 10 noon ET close. It resolves on May 11, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, using the final Binance ETH/USDT candle close prices. PolySpotter is tracking $1,446 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including alerts from profitable serial crypto traders.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,105.
Categories: Ethereum, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader with a long track record is buying Down at 78¢ on a near-term ETH market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 3,178 resolved bets and is up about $235K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 98 events, with $510K tracked in this pattern.
- Buying Down at 78¢ suggests they are backing the current ETH weakness to continue into resolution.
$1,446 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history is buying Down in line with strong recent market momentum.
- This bettor is up $235k across 3,178 resolved bets.
- They have traded 127 markets across 98 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- They bought Down at 77¢ after Up fell 26.5 percentage points over the past day.
$1,402 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Experienced cross-market crypto bettor with a large profitable history bought Down in line with recent ETH market momentum.
- This bettor has a long track record: 3,178 resolved bets and about $235k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 97 events, with over $500k previously deployed in related setups.
- Bought Down at 73¢ after Up fell 23.5% over the past day, leaning into the current ETH momentum.
$1,257 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x06dc...4524 — Down, $9,255 (67% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Up, $8,316 (60% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...e6a1 — Down, $3,960 (54% win rate)
- 0x80cd...0273 — Up, $3,510 (56% win rate)
- 0xec8f...8df8 — Up, $1,116
- 0x694d...c5a4 — Up, $790
- 0xa64d...cad1 — Down, $584
- 0x5c6c...998f — Up, $410
- 0xd86c...98aa — Down, $400
- 0xeee9...7ecb — Down, $373
