Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?
Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?
This Polymarket market asks whether Ethereum will be up or down from the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close at noon ET on May 14, 2026 to the noon ET candle close on May 15, 2026. It resolves on May 15, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, with $1,745 in smart money tracked and 1 recent smart money signal from a profitable serial macro trader.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,745.
Categories: Ethereum, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial macro trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Down despite only a moderate signal.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,483 resolved bets, 60% wins, and about $364K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 48 events and $612K flagged volume.
- They bought Down at 80¢ after a 28.5-point move toward Down, reinforcing the market’s current momentum.
$1,745 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xbc9b...1b9c — Up, $38,838 (84% win rate)
- 0x80cd...0273 — Down, $23,607 (56% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Down, $11,205 (60% win rate)
- 0x06dc...4524 — Down, $2,873 (67% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...e6a1 — Down, $1,132 (54% win rate)
- 0xa64d...cad1 — Down, $505
- 0x997c...251e — Down, $390
- 0xb671...3c28 — Up, $200
- 0xa12f...e012 — Up, $194
- 0xeee9...7ecb — Down, $137
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
