Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on May 17?
Ethereum Up or Down on May 17?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,667.
Categories: Ethereum, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable last-minute ETH timer
Profitable serial near-resolution crypto trader bought $9.3k of Up 25 minutes before expiry and the price quickly moved from the low-80s to 98%.
- This bettor has a long track record: 3,636 resolved trades and $260,894 in lifetime profit.
- They specialize in late bets, with 27 near-resolution trades across 10 markets.
- They bought $9.3k of Up around 83¢, and the market has already moved to 98¢.
$9,315 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution crypto bettor with $260,894 lifetime profit bought $10.5k of Up shortly before resolution during a major volume and price spike.
- This bettor is up $260,894 lifetime and frequently trades near market resolution.
- They bought $10.5k of Up about 26 minutes before the close as the price jumped from the low 80s to 93¢.
- Market activity spiked 30x above normal, supporting the move toward Up.
$10,542 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial timer buying Up
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Up about 58 minutes before resolution, adding to a strong intraday move with a long track record of positive P&L.
- This bettor has 3,636 resolved trades, wins 67%, and is up about $260K lifetime.
- They bought $2.5K of Up about 58 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern they have repeated across 18 near-close bets.
- The market has already moved sharply toward Up, rising 34 percentage points in the last day.
$2,509 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Up on ETH despite already elevated odds, aligning with strong recent momentum.
- This bettor has a long record: 3,636 resolved bets and about $260k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 114 events, suggesting a repeatable crypto/event-betting process.
- They bought Up at 85¢ after a large 32-point move, showing conviction that ETH stays above yesterday’s noon close.
$1,556 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
A highly experienced profitable cross-market trader is taking a contrarian Down position on ETH despite the market favoring Up.
- This bettor has won 67% of 3,636 resolved bets and is up about $260k lifetime.
- They bought Down at 41¢ while the market now prices it near 34¢, so the same view is available cheaper.
- This wallet has traded across 114 events, suggesting an established cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$2,272 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Experienced profitable cross-market wallet bought Up at 75¢, with a long history of trading related markets and $260k lifetime profit.
- This bettor has traded across 114 events and is up $260k lifetime.
- They have a 67% win rate across 3,635 resolved bets, showing a long profitable track record.
- Bought Up at 75¢ while the market has already moved 27.5 points toward Up over the past day.
$1,151 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Up at 74¢ on an ETH daily direction market, though the trade size is modest and price has since moved against them.
- This bettor has a long record: 3,635 resolved trades and $260k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 114 events with $575k flagged in similar positioning.
- They bought Up at 74¢, implying confidence despite the market now trading around 71¢.
$1,185 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history is buying Up after a sharp 24-point move in ETH odds.
- This bettor has won 67% of 3,635 resolved bets and is up $260k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 113 events and $574k of detected positioning.
- ETH Up odds have already jumped 24 points, and this buy follows the same momentum at 74¢.
$1,137 on Up | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x71a7...6fcf — Outcome 36572683, $1,553 (46% win rate)
- 0xa64d...cad1 — Outcome 36572683, $1,113
- 0x47c6...be32 — Outcome 36572683, $676 (35% win rate)
- 0x795d...bdf8 — Outcome 36572683, $584
- 0xa12f...e012 — Outcome 36572683, $575
- 0xea97...a471 — Outcome 36572683, $278
- 0x1f6b...267e — Outcome 36572683, $218
- 0x0f51...da36 — Outcome 36572683, $100
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 36572683, $100
- 0x14a8...9b48 — Outcome 36572683, $98
Related Theses
Ethereum dips but stays rangebound
Covers 3 related markets
