Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?
Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,394.
Categories: Ethereum, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Down after a major move, though the bet is modest and mostly follows current odds.
- This bettor is up $243K across more than 3,700 resolved trades.
- They have traded 120 related events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market crypto strategy.
- Bought Down at 87¢ with the market already near 89¢, backing the current momentum.
$1,924 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Down at 78¢ before the market moved to 90¢, suggesting a well-timed crypto-directional call.
- This bettor has a long track record: 3,694 resolved trades and $270K in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 116 events, with $599K tracked in this pattern.
- They bought Down at 78¢ and the market has already moved to 90¢, so the edge may be partly priced in.
$1,470 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x8ef6...babc — Down, $13,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x001f...9cb5 — Up, $10,300
- 0x1633...190c — Up, $10,000
- 0x6623...694b — Up, $9,081
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Down, $6,946 (60% win rate)
- 0x67f9...cf1a — Up, $6,320
- 0xbc9b...1b9c — Down, $5,800 (84% win rate)
- 0x06dc...4524 — Down, $4,644 (67% win rate)
- 0x40d5...1c74 — Up, $4,224 (69% win rate)
- 0x751a...9ea1 — Down, $3,988 (99% win rate)
Related Theses
Ethereum dips but stays rangebound
Covers 3 related markets
