Ethereum Up or Down on May 21?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,630.

Categories: Ethereum, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable timer flips Down

Profitable serial near-resolution trader flipped from Up to Down shortly before resolution, with a strong historical timing pattern.

This bettor is up $252,842 lifetime across 4,003 resolved markets.
They have a pattern of late bets, with 38 near-resolution trades across 13 markets.
They closed an earlier Up position and bought Down at 76¢ about 28 minutes before resolution.

$1,092 on Down | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial market trader

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader flipped from Up to Down, but the entry is a short-priced favorite rather than a high-upside bet.

This bettor has a long record: 4,003 resolved trades and about $253K in lifetime profit.
They flipped from a prior Up position into Down at 86¢ after a sharp move in the market.
Entry at 86¢ is a low-upside favorite, but it matches this wallet’s history of profitable high-probability bets.

$1,801 on Down | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial crypto bettor

Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable record bought Down on ETH despite only a modest single-trade signal.

This bettor has 3,999 resolved trades, wins 67% of them, and is up about $240K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 128 events with about $680K in tracked activity.
Bought Down at 73¢ while the market is now 68¢, giving a cheaper entry than the trader got.

$1,202 on Down | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Surfaced because a highly active, profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Down on a relatively quiet ETH daily market with meaningful size versus recent volume.

This bettor has a long track record: 3,999 resolved bets and $239K in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $678K tracked across 127 events.
The $1.5K Down buy was large versus recent volume, adding conviction to the 65¢ entry.

$1,535 on Down | Wallet win rate: 66%

New repeat crypto winner

New 11-day-old wallet with early profits is making another sizable bet on a thin ETH market, with repeat flagged activity totaling $10.85k.

This 11-day-old wallet is already up $1,490 and has won both resolved bets so far.
It has now been flagged 4 times, with $10,850 total in notable bets.
This $1,000 buy is nearly half of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.

$1,000 on Up | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0x7d49...4f7c — Outcome 12129151, $9,011
0x06dc...4524 — Outcome 12129151, $8,045 (66% win rate)
0xc3e6...590f — Outcome 12129151, $2,000 (100% win rate)
0xced4...5055 — Outcome 12129151, $1,118
0x1f6b...267e — Outcome 12129151, $1,000
0xa12f...e012 — Outcome 12129151, $354
0x506e...36ad — Outcome 12129151, $172
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 12129151, $100
0xe4fc...2406 — Outcome 12129151, $100
0x4151...136f — Outcome 12129151, $90

Related Theses

Ethereum rangebound below $2,000

Covers 10 related markets

Bitcoin stays range-bound in June

Covers 15 related markets

Covers 7 related markets

Bitcoin settles between $58K and $62K

Covers 3 related markets

Bitcoin reaches 68K without dipping

Covers 5 related markets

Bitcoin swings between $57.5K and $67.5K

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Ethereum Up or Down on May 21?

ResolvedEthereum Up or Down on May 21?$6,630 tracked5 signalsEthereumUp or DownToday 🚀DailyCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewDaily-Close

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.