Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?
Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?
This Ethereum prediction market asks whether ETH/USDT will be higher or lower at the May 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET Binance 1-minute candle close compared with the May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET close. It resolves on May 30, 2026, with “Up” winning if the May 30 close is higher and “Down” winning if it is lower; PolySpotter is tracking $1,957 in smart money across 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,777.
Categories: Up or Down, Daily, Crypto Prices, Ethereum, Today 🚀, Crypto, Recurring, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is buying Down, but the edge signal is moderate because this is a short-priced favorite and the bet size is not especially large for the market.
- This bettor has a long record across 4,643 resolved trades and is up about $231K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 142 events with $776K in flagged flow.
- Buying Down at 84¢ means they are backing the already favored side, with limited upside but clear directional conviction.
$1,957 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Down in a moderately quiet ETH market, but the bet size and signal strength are modest.
- This bettor has a long record: 4,620 resolved bets and $234K in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $773K tracked across 140 events.
- Bought Down at 78¢, implying a relatively high-confidence view before tomorrow’s ETH close.
$1,379 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable, high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Down in a relatively quiet ETH market, though the sizing is moderate and entry is near current odds.
- This bettor is up $576k across 1,598 resolved markets.
- They have a long cross-market history: 71 events and $823k in flagged related trades.
- The $1.4k Down buy is meaningful for a quiet ETH market with only about $7.2k total volume.
$1,440 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x06dc...4524 — Down, $6,092 (67% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Down, $3,162 (60% win rate)
- 0x724d...8dea — Up, $1,950
- 0xbf8d...80c8 — Up, $1,821
- 0xfdc0...e6a1 — Down, $1,302 (54% win rate)
- 0x06ab...c964 — Up, $1,057
- 0xe2cc...893c — Up, $889
- 0xe907...cff6 — Up, $851 (47% win rate)
- 0x7495...7fcf — Up, $800
- 0xe9c6...95c9 — Up, $658 (48% win rate)
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