Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,872.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable cluster fading exact score

Three wallets, including a very profitable high-volume bettor, collectively faded the 2-2 exact score and the market has since moved fully to No.

  • One wallet in the cluster is up $4.46M lifetime across more than 50k resolved bets.
  • Three wallets put $5.5k on No, including two traders selling Yes at very high 71–80¢ prices.
  • The market has since moved to 100¢ No, suggesting the edge was timing-sensitive and may already be gone.

$5,486 on No

95% winner last-minute exact score

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 95% resolved win record and positive P&L bought a low-probability exact-score outcome minutes before scheduled resolution.

  • This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved bets and is up $27,058 lifetime.
  • They bought 2-2 at 7¢ just over 2 minutes before the scheduled market end.
  • Entry at 7¢ implies a high-upside position if they have live-match information.

$2,386 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 12368269, $94,606
  2. 0x6eb7...3cd4 Outcome 42054574, $42,857 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xde0a...f102 Outcome 42054574, $30,000 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 42054574, $14,460 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x94d7...bef5 Outcome 42054574, $7,143 (86% win rate)
  6. 0x16a4...66ad Outcome 42054574, $6,723 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x37a1...6691 Outcome 42054574, $6,481 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x8f42...b88f Outcome 42054574, $5,555 (58% win rate)
  9. 0x662a...77b7 Outcome 42054574, $5,345 (38% win rate)
  10. 0xa61f...7993 Outcome 42054574, $5,000 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Argentina France or Spain wins

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Switzerland and Canada draw 1-1

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Korea Republic will win

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Brazil wins by two-plus goals

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Germany fails to cover

Covers 1 related market

Netherlands win by three plus

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Côte d'Ivoire wins high-scoring match

Covers 2 related markets

France Sweden tops 3.5 goals

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Mexico advances after scoreless first half

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Spain wins high-scoring rout

Covers 2 related markets

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?

ResolvedPortugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score$7,872 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Portugal vs. Croatia match originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?

13h ago

$5,486 on No at 42¢

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?

16h ago

$2,386 on Yes at 7¢

Related Theses