A bettor with a 97% win rate across 288 resolved bets and nearly $987K in profit bought No at 63¢. Three wallets concentrated $11,209 on No while the market saw a 239x volume spike versus its baseline. The market is extremely thin with a wide spread, so the displayed price may be difficult to obtain and carries substantial slippage risk.

Part of: UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)

Fight to Go the Distance?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,840.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC

Notable Trades

97% winner backs No

A proven 97% winner joined a concentrated $11.2K No position amid an extreme volume spike, though thin liquidity and mixed wallet quality raise execution risk.

A bettor with a 97% win rate across 288 resolved bets and nearly $987K in profit bought No at 63¢.
Three wallets concentrated $11,209 on No while the market saw a 239x volume spike versus its baseline.
The market is extremely thin with a wide spread, so the displayed price may be difficult to obtain and carries substantial slippage risk.

$7,880 on No

97% winner buys No in thin market

A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate made a fresh $1,400 No bet in an exceptionally thin market amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 97% of 288 resolved trades and earned nearly $987,000.
They bought No at 63¢ in a market with only $34 liquidity and a very wide spread.
Trading surged to more than 235 times the recent average, adding weight to the directional move.

$8,960 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0x17b8...d5d1 — Outcome 87684340, $2,142 (73% win rate)
0xf9b7...60a4 — Outcome 87684340, $1,025 (65% win rate)
0x8da6...107a — Outcome 87684340, $105
0x6c43...fb9b — Outcome 87684340, $65 (53% win rate)
0xe961...8dca — Outcome 87684340, $56
0x9247...02fb — Outcome 87684340, $28
0x0f53...12ca — Outcome 87684340, $13
0x3546...1a58 — Outcome 87684340, $13
0x70a0...2dc3 — Outcome 87684340, $13
0xe369...9148 — Outcome 87684340, $13

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Fight to Go the Distance?

ResolvedUFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)$16,840 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesUFC

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.