Part of: UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,641.

Notable Trades

96% winner backs No in thin market

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate made a concentrated No bet in a thin market, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite only modest apparent mispricing.

This bettor has won 96% of 339 resolved trades and earned $1.12 million in profit.
They invested $3,641 buying No at 65–66¢, more than twice the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
The market is thin with a 3¢ spread, while the bettor’s No position aligns with the current 64% No price after recent weakness in Yes.

$3,641 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 47474213, $5,566 (96% win rate)
0xc387...5a97 — Outcome 47474213, $930 (83% win rate)
0x5108...29cb — Outcome 47474213, $484 (55% win rate)
0x9deb...536f — Outcome 47474213, $458 (68% win rate)
0xbedb...6bc3 — Outcome 47474213, $458
0x664a...fc5f — Outcome 47474213, $400 (52% win rate)
0x2b85...bf37 — Outcome 47474213, $308 (48% win rate)
0xc34b...9296 — Outcome 47474213, $303 (96% win rate)
0x54fd...c606 — Outcome 47474213, $283 (69% win rate)
0xe663...e9f8 — Outcome 47474213, $281

Related Theses

Brandon Nakashima beats Rafael Jodar

Covers 1 related market

Fight to Go the Distance?

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)$3,641 tracked1 signalSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Serghei Spivac and Vitor Petrino at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.