Fight to Go the Distance?

This Polymarket tracks whether Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327 will go the full scheduled distance. "Yes" wins if all scheduled rounds are completed and the outcome is decided on the judges' scorecards, including a draw after all rounds; "No" wins if the fight ends early or is ruled a technical decision or technical draw before the final bell. The market is set to resolve after the bout on April 12, 2026 UTC.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,145.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet on thin market

A very new wallet with repeat large bets and early profits bought into a thin UFC market at 58¢, and the market has since moved sharply in its favor to 40¢.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already been flagged 15 times, with $38.9k in notable bets and $40.6k in profit
  • They bought No at 58¢ in a market with just $3.2k of 24h volume and a very wide 37-point spread
  • The price has moved from 58¢ to 40¢ since their buy, showing immediate market follow-through

$1,145 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0x26b4...b8a9 — No, $3,387 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x26cf...c612 — Yes, $2,156
  3. 0xe911...3d4e — Yes, $1,203
  4. 0x9ece...8786 — No, $173
  5. 0xf4f8...5bf1 — Yes, $159
  6. 0xd154...9c74 — Yes, $55
  7. 0xef2b...9716 — No, $11
  8. 0x7b65...9fd0 — No, $10
  9. 0x8b62...204e — Yes, $9
  10. 0x2698...2941 — Yes, $8

Fight to Go the Distance?

2h$1,145 tracked1 signalSportsUFCGames
Yes
49¢
No
51¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “No”
49¢
40¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Fight to Go the Distance?

2h ago

$1,145 on No at 58¢

58¢→51¢↓7¢
Padilla vs Mederos Goes Distance Odds | PolySpotter