Part of: UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,991.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor adds Yes

A profitable serial cross-market bettor added to an existing Yes position at 80¢, which has since moved to 100%, though the market is now fully repriced.

This bettor has won 71% of 226 resolved trades and is up $97,831 lifetime.
They added $1,346 to an existing Yes position at 80¢, with the market now showing 100%.
The wallet has traded across 35 events and 41 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$1,346 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable bettor scales into No

A profitable serial cross-market trader sharply increased an existing No position in a thin market, though the simultaneous Yes holding makes the thesis less clean.

This bettor is up $97,854 across 226 resolved trades with a 71% win rate.
They added $4,820 to No at 50¢ in a market with only about $862 liquidity, showing substantial conviction.
The position is already heavily concentrated in No, but a separate $2,600 Yes holding suggests some hedging or position management.

$4,820 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Serial trader scaling into No

An experienced serial trader is adding roughly $5,000 in No exposure to an extremely thin market, with the position already representing substantial conviction despite only a modest historical edge.

This bettor has won 71% of 226 resolved trades and is up nearly $98,000 lifetime.
They added about $5,000 to No at 50¢ in a market with only $492 of 24-hour volume and thin liquidity.
The wallet already held $11,153 in No, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine isolated bet.

$5,824 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

0x5108...29cb — Outcome 11013670, $460 (57% win rate)
0x4991...d4dc — Outcome 11013670, $150
0xb74f...acbb — Outcome 11013670, $122
0xd170...a9d9 — Outcome 11013670, $98
0x91ac...5ff3 — Outcome 11013670, $50
0xb9fc...c14a — Outcome 11013670, $49
0x114a...46c0 — Outcome 11013670, $28
0xd161...4cc1 — Outcome 11013670, $25 (71% win rate)
0x2a24...0a15 — Outcome 11013670, $24
0xf26b...f3b8 — Outcome 11013670, $22

Related Theses

Fight will end before decision

Covers 1 related market

Fight will end before decision

Covers 1 related market

Adam Darby wins against Patrick Rivera

Covers 1 related market

Fight to Go the Distance?

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)$11,991 tracked3 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Morgan Charrière and Felipe Lima at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.