Part of: UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,667.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader scaling into No

A proven serial trader added roughly $3,600 to No in a thin market while already holding a much larger No position, indicating meaningful directional conviction despite only modest historical edge over entry prices.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 198 resolved trades and is up $88,405 lifetime.
  • They added about $3,600 to No around 47¢ while already holding a $14,769 No position.
  • The market had thin liquidity and wide spreads, so this concentrated buying represents notable conviction.

$7,667 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2525...3ddd Outcome 57366589, $10,848 (77% win rate)
  2. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 57366589, $5,695 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x03dc...99e1 Outcome 57366589, $2,000 (83% win rate)
  4. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 57366589, $536 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x3623...b50d Outcome 57366589, $422 (91% win rate)
  6. 0x6449...e1d4 Outcome 57366589, $150
  7. 0xb6c5...20d0 Outcome 57366589, $104
  8. 0xe997...61b6 Outcome 57366589, $92
  9. 0xf7f3...4e79 Outcome 57366589, $85
  10. 0xa430...c6f9 Outcome 57366589, $81

Related Theses

Fight will end before decision

Covers 1 related market

Fight will end before decision

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Sumudaerji will win his fight

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Fight ends before five rounds

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Adam Darby wins against Patrick Rivera

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Sofia Montenegro will win

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Fight ends before decision

Covers 1 related market

Nathaniel Wood Wins Fight

Covers 1 related market

Oumar Sy wins the fight

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Mario Pinto will win

Covers 1 related market

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

Fight to Go the Distance?

13d ago

$7,667 on No at 47¢

Related Theses