Part of: Flames vs. Ducks

Flames vs. Ducks

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $215,425.

Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey

Notable Trades

87% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought Flames into a major pregame volume and price surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market's high liquidity.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up $343k across 591 resolved bets.
  • They trade heavily across 690 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off lucky streak.
  • They bought Flames at 78¢ as the market was surging, with volume running 59x above normal and price jumping 16 points.

$3,700 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 58%

Sharp bettor buys Flames

A proven sharp bettor with an 84% win rate bought Flames into a major pre-game volume spike, making this a worthwhile signal despite the modest size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up about $368k across 401 resolved bets
  • They bought Flames at 43¢ during an 80x surge in market activity before the game
  • Entry at 43¢ suggests they see the underdog as meaningfully underpriced

$3,626 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 84%

4-wallet Ducks push

Coordinated Ducks buying from 4 wallets into a major pre-game volume spike is notable, especially with this wallet having a large positive P&L and a long cross-market betting history.

  • Four wallets bought Ducks in the same window for $73k total, a strong one-sided signal.
  • This wallet is up about $1.75M across 41 resolved bets and has traded 59 sports events.
  • The bet went in at 58¢ during a 56.7x volume spike, showing real conviction rather than routine activity.

$59,422 on Ducks | Wallet win rate: 55%

3-wallet Ducks push

Three wallets piled nearly $70k into Ducks in minutes during a huge volume spike, led by a profitable high-volume trader, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets hit Ducks in the same burst for nearly $70k, with one wallet alone putting in $66k at 57-58¢.
  • The market saw a 64x volume spike as this hit, and Ducks moved fast around the trades.
  • The lead wallet has deployed $8.5M on Polymarket and is up about $1.75M, suggesting this was not routine small-stakes action.

$69,641 on Ducks

84% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 84% win-rate bettor with broad cross-market success sold Flames at 43¢, which translates to a bullish Ducks buy at 57¢ in a liquid NHL market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $451k across 678 bets.
  • They trade across 206 markets and 176 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • Selling Flames at 43¢ is effectively a buy on Ducks at 57¢, showing a clear lean from a proven bettor.

$6,450 on Ducks | Wallet win rate: 84%

4-wallet linked Flames cluster

Four coordinated wallets, three linked by funding, piled $42.6k into Flames during a huge pre-game volume surge, making this a notable directional sports cluster despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Four wallets all bought Flames at 42-44¢ within seconds, and three of them share a funder.
  • The group put in $42.6k as market activity spiked more than 500x above normal.
  • Two wallets are profitable over thousands of settled bets, which adds some credibility to the coordinated move.

$42,606 on Flames

84% win-rate sports bettor

A highly proven sports trader with an 84% win rate and $451k profit is fading the Flames, which translates to buying Ducks around 58¢.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $451k across 678 positions
  • They trade heavily across related markets with results holding up over 176 events and 206 markets
  • This sale of Flames at 42¢ is the same as buying Ducks at 58¢, close to the current market price

$4,200 on Ducks | Wallet win rate: 84%

Pro sports sharp buying Flames

A highly active and very profitable bettor with a long history is buying Flames at 40¢, making this a credible sharp-money position despite only one signal firing.

  • This bettor has won 1,557 of 2,373 resolved trades and is up $7.9M overall
  • They bought Flames at 40¢, a price that would pay 2.5x if the team wins
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate opinion from a proven trader rather than a random punt

$4,530 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 67%

84% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $451k profit is buying Flames at 40¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $451k across 678 resolved positions
  • They trade heavily across 206 markets and 176 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Flames at 40¢, a cheap entry that implies they see the team as clearly better than market odds

$1,250 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 84%

84% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 84% win rate and broad cross-market history just placed a concentrated $20k buy on Flames at 40¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $453k across 676 bets
  • They just put $20k on Flames at 40¢, a large, concentrated position from a proven winner
  • This wallet has traded 205 markets across 175 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$20,000 on Flames | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xebe5...b317 Outcome 73365819, $49,675 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xb6ae...4df8 Outcome 73365819, $46,224 (85% win rate)
  3. 0xc660...bd28 Outcome 73365819, $16,380 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x9119...28fe Outcome 73365819, $12,405
  5. 0xbd09...a188 Outcome 73365819, $5,000 (82% win rate)
  6. 0x6eb0...a15c Outcome 73365819, $4,303
  7. 0x7837...40f1 Outcome 73365819, $3,150 (98% win rate)
  8. 0x2230...69e5 Outcome 73365819, $1,967 (90% win rate)
  9. 0xa99c...3070 Outcome 73365819, $1,927 (33% win rate)
  10. 0xf819...b956 Outcome 73365819, $1,800

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Flames vs. Ducks

ResolvedFlames vs. Ducks$215,425 tracked10 signalsSportsNHLGamesHockey

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 4 at 10:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

CGY
5
32-36-8
Final
ANA
3
41-31-5
CGY +130ANA -155O/U 6.5
Arena
Honda Center, Anaheim
Attendance
14,104

Notable Trades

Flames vs. Ducks

45d ago

$3,700 on Flames at 78¢

Flames vs. Ducks

45d ago

$3,626 on Flames at 43¢

Flames vs. Ducks

45d ago

$59,422 on Ducks at 58¢

Flames vs. Ducks

45d ago

$69,641 on Ducks at 58¢

Flames vs. Ducks

45d ago

$6,450 on Ducks at 57¢

Flames vs. Ducks

45d ago

$42,606 on Flames at 43¢

Flames vs. Ducks

46d ago

$4,200 on Ducks at 58¢

Flames vs. Ducks

46d ago

$4,530 on Flames at 40¢

Flames vs. Ducks

46d ago

$1,250 on Flames at 40¢

Flames vs. Ducks

46d ago

$20,000 on Flames at 40¢

Related Theses