Part of: Florence: Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta

Florence: Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta

This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitry Popko and Daniele Rapagnetta in the Florence, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Popko' if Dmitry Popko advances against Daniele Rapagnetta. This market will resolve to 'Daniele Rapagnetta' if Daniele Rapagnetta advances against Dmitry Popko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,432.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Popko flow with sharp participation

Five wallets directed about $53.5K toward Popko, alongside a rapid 24-point price move and participation from a bettor with a strong resolved record, though some flow may be position management.

Five wallets shifted roughly $53.5K toward Popko, including one direct $4.5K Popko buy.
Popko rose about 24 percentage points in five minutes as the clustered trades came through.
One participant has an 89% record across 79 resolved bets, though some of the selling may be position management.

$53,527 on Dmitry Popko

Sharp bettor aligned with 10-wallet Popko flow

A highly profitable bettor’s sell of Rapagnetta aligns with ten wallets buying Popko amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 81% of 367 resolved trades and is up $127,545.
Ten wallets bought Popko for a combined $195,815, alongside a 149.9× volume spike.
The alert’s sell of Rapagnetta at 58¢ converts to a Popko buy at 42¢.

$1,107 on Dmitry Popko | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven sharp backs Popko

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge took a fresh position on Popko amid a market volume spike.

This bettor has won 81% of 207 resolved bets and is up nearly $690,000.
They bought Popko at 41¢ while the market priced him around 40¢.
The market saw a 13.3× volume spike, adding context to the position.

$2,576 on Dmitry Popko | Wallet win rate: 81%

Three-wallet Rapagnetta buying cluster

Three wallets bought Rapagnetta at 30–35¢, including two that already held large positions, and the market is now at 56¢.

Three wallets bought Daniele Rapagnetta at 30–35¢; the market is now priced at 56¢.
Two wallets added to existing positions of roughly $100,000 and $352,000, signaling increased conviction.
One participant has a 68% win rate across 43,400 resolved bets, though its record alone does not show a strong edge over average entry odds.

$7,491 on Daniele Rapagnetta

99% winner adding to Popko

A highly profitable bettor with 259 wins from 261 resolved bets is adding substantially to an existing Popko position, with the trade also dwarfing the market's recent volume.

This bettor has won 259 of 261 resolved bets and is up $304,537 lifetime.
They added $4,730 to an existing Popko position; the trade was nearly 12 times the market’s 24-hour volume.
The entry at 62¢ is on Popko, currently priced near 61¢.

$4,730 on Dmitry Popko | Wallet win rate: 99%