Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether an official Fluent token will have a fully diluted valuation above $100 million one day after launch. The market only counts a publicly tradable official Fluent token and excludes stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028, with traders currently pricing the odds based on Fluent’s eventual token launch and post-launch valuation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Fluent token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Fluent will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Fluent (https://x.com/fluentxyz/photo) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,732.
Categories: fdv, Fluent, Crypto, Pre-Market
Notable Trades
81% win-rate bettor
A historically profitable wallet with an 81% win rate made a market-moving $2.7k buy into the No side of a thin, wide-spread token launch market, suggesting informed conviction.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up $33.8k overall.
- They put $2.7k into No, equal to about 63% of the market's 24-hour volume.
- The market is thin and wide-spread, so buying No at 54¢ looks like a conviction bet before the price moved to 62¢.
$2,732 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xf49c...9786 — Yes, $23,458 (75% win rate)
- 0xeb67...d696 — No, $9,041 (81% win rate)
- 0xf575...b53a — No, $5,000
- 0x825e...f0d6 — No, $3,359
- 0xf6b8...b04f — Yes, $2,348
- 0x2256...e997 — No, $2,310
- 0x0826...0b32 — No, $2,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x981d...ed7f — No, $2,000
- 0x7cbf...6c43 — No, $1,929
- 0x59ad...8a1a — Yes, $600
