Fonseca vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 22.5
This Polymarket tracks whether Joao Fonseca vs. Arthur Rinderknech at the 2026 Rolex Monte Carlo Masters will finish Over or Under 22.5 total games. The market resolves to Over if the match reaches at least 23 total games across all sets, with any tiebreak counting as one game. It is scheduled to resolve by April 14, 2026, following the April 8 match.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Arthur Rinderknech in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 8 2026. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,971.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
71% win-rate serial bettor
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 71% win rate just took half the daily volume in a thin tennis totals market, making this a copy-worthy conviction bet despite only moderate composite score.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades across 618 bets and is up about $279k lifetime
- Their $1,971 buy was 50% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a thin market
- They bought Over at 52¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see the total as mispriced
$1,971 on Over | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x0a26...1851 — Over, $3,815 (71% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Under, $2,010
- 0x507e...beae — Under, $1,007 (50% win rate)
- 0xc249...8a61 — Under, $250
- 0x200f...7a96 — Under, $229
- 0xa578...6702 — Under, $182
- 0x4df3...788f — Under, $168 (74% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Over, $54
- 0x5a2b...d4e9 — Under, $46
- 0x1a98...639d — Over, $20
