Part of: France vs. England - Halftime Result

France leading at halftime?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,726.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

98% win-rate sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and $3.7M in documented profits made a large fresh bet on Yes amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 64 of 65 resolved positions and earned approximately $3.7M in profit.
The $18,255 Yes purchase at 44¢ is a substantial position in a market with a 36.8× volume spike.
The entry price implies the bettor sees France leading at halftime as meaningfully undervalued near the current 44% odds.

$18,255 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp bettor leads three-wallet Yes cluster

A proven 87% bettor with substantial positive edge joined two other wallets in a $12.9K one-sided Yes position amid a major volume spike.

The lead bettor wins 87% of 111 trades, is up $1.17M, and typically buys at 42% odds.
Three wallets placed $12,916 on Yes, including two adding to existing Yes positions.
Trading surged to 25 times the recent average while Yes moved to 44%, indicating strong coordinated conviction.

$12,916 on Yes

Sharp bettor buys France Yes

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 87% win rate and strong historical edge made a fresh $5,555 purchase of Yes amid a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 87% of trades—97 of 111—and is up $1.17 million lifetime.
They bought $5,555 of Yes at 44¢, matching their 44¢ average winning entry price.
The market saw a 179.9x volume spike, adding support to the fresh directional bet.

$5,555 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 61811493, $46,457 (98% win rate)
0xa45e...e704 — Outcome 61811493, $37,262 (100% win rate)
0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 61811493, $20,133 (44% win rate)
0xc1fd...948e — Outcome 61811493, $15,000
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 61811493, $14,228 (55% win rate)
0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 61811493, $12,625 (88% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 78490391, $10,543
0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 61811493, $7,380 (69% win rate)
0x72d7...1b97 — Outcome 61811493, $3,000 (28% win rate)
0xb157...0120 — Outcome 61811493, $2,273 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Argentina advances in high-scoring regulation

Covers 3 related markets

France wins by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

France leading at halftime?

ResolvedFrance vs. England - Halftime Result$36,726 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 18, 2026 If France wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

63¢

59¢

55¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction