Part of: France vs. England - More Markets

France vs. England: O/U 2.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and England combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $172,390.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp wallets scaling into Under

A coordinated $59.7K Under position includes two exceptionally profitable bettors with 95% and 97% win rates, despite the market moving sharply toward Over afterward.

  • Two bettors with 95% and 97% win rates bought Under at 34¢, with lifetime profits of $1.02M and $581K.
  • Five wallets placed $59,663 on Under, including two wallets linked to the same funder.
  • The market has since moved sharply against Under to roughly 4%, so this is a high-conviction but now materially underwater position.

$59,663 on Under

95% win-rate serial sharp

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh Under position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 38 of 40 resolved trades and earned over $1.0M in P&L.
  • The wallet is taking a fresh $1,637 position on Under at 33¢, despite its unusually strong 95% historical record.
  • Trading across 50 events and 54 markets, the bettor is participating as volume runs 15.6× above its historical average.

$1,637 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%

Six-wallet Over accumulation

Six wallets added more than $20,000 to Over during a 15.6x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated directional signal despite mixed trader records.

  • Six wallets bought Over for $20,661, with most entries clustered around 67–68¢.
  • The buying occurred during a 15.6x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong interest in three or more total goals.
  • Several wallets were adding to existing Over positions, showing increased conviction rather than simple profit-taking.

$20,661 on Over

Profitable serial sports whale

A highly profitable serial sports trader put about $90k more on Over amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price move from 44¢ to 68¢.

  • This bettor has won 64% of nearly 9,800 resolved bets and is up $4.27M lifetime.
  • They added about $90k on Over, including a 44¢ fill that has already moved to 68¢.
  • Volume spiked massively before the match, and this wallet is also active across 3 markets in the same event.

$90,429 on Over | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 Under, $237,217 (54% win rate)
  2. 0xc430...1ebf Under, $143,639 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Over, $131,254 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x076d...8d4c Over, $121,056 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x2117...5c26 Over, $118,166 (43% win rate)
  6. 0x23d8...0288 Under, $99,999 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x7f14...29d1 Under, $96,667 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x84cf...2f63 Under, $73,893 (46% win rate)
  9. 0x1a22...7b00 Over, $63,453 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x13f0...a50f Over, $52,008 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

France-England match stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Conflicting Brazil Haiti blowout bets

Covers 6 related markets

Jordan Argentina ends in draw

Covers 2 related markets

Türkiye beats United States

Covers 3 related markets

Early goals, Jordan keeps it close

Covers 5 related markets

Ecuador will not beat Germany

Covers 3 related markets

England advances past Argentina

Covers 1 related market

Mexico and Korea draw

Covers 3 related markets

France vs. England: O/U 2.5

ResolvedFrance vs. England - More Markets$172,390 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Over
100¢
Under
0¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and England combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

England
ENG
4
World Cup
Live
45'+5'
France
FRA
0
FRA 18/1ENG 1/9Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Price History — “Over
102¢
83¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

France vs. England: O/U 2.5

5h ago

$59,663 on Under at 34¢

34¢0¢34¢

France vs. England: O/U 2.5

5h ago

$1,637 on Under at 33¢

33¢0¢33¢

France vs. England: O/U 2.5

5h ago

$20,661 on Over at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

France vs. England: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$90,429 on Over at 54¢

54¢100¢46¢

Related Theses