Part of: France vs. England - More Markets

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $303,060.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Linked cluster backs Over

A linked 16-wallet cluster made a large Over position alongside a 112x volume spike, including a highly profitable 96% winner buying at 47 cents.

  • Sixteen linked wallets committed about $117,000 to Over, including a $21,000 position from a bettor with a 96% win rate across 148 resolved bets.
  • The market saw a 112x historical volume spike and moved sharply upward, suggesting unusually concentrated conviction.
  • The strongest Over entry was 47¢, implying substantial upside if the position can still be entered near that price.

$117,455 on Over

15-wallet linked Under cluster

A coordinated 15-wallet Under position totaling nearly $92,000, backed by linked funders and a 112.5x volume spike, is a strong directional signal despite the individual seller's mediocre track record.

  • 15 wallets bet Under with $91,792 combined, including wallets linked to two shared funders.
  • Trading volume spiked 112.5x above its historical average across 43 trades.
  • The individual trader is only modestly proven at 59% wins, so the coordinated flow matters more than the wallet's history.

$5,607 on Under | Wallet win rate: 59%

15-wallet linked Under cluster

A strongly coordinated 15-wallet Under position and 112.5x volume spike make this sports trade notable despite the trader's modest historical edge and sharply adverse current price move.

  • 15 wallets backed Under for a combined $91,792, with two linked funding sources behind the group.
  • Trading surged to 112.5 times its historical average, indicating unusually concentrated interest in this game.
  • The featured wallet has 12,523 resolved bets and is up $293,920, though its 59% win rate is not clearly superior to its average entry prices.

$1,408 on Under | Wallet win rate: 59%

19-wallet cluster backing Under

A large, linked 19-wallet cluster committed nearly $148,000 to Under amid a major volume spike, though the position has since moved sharply against them.

  • Nineteen linked wallets bought Under for nearly $148,000, including a 99.9x surge in market activity.
  • One participating bettor has an 83% win rate across 109 resolved bets, while another serial trader shows a 90% win rate.
  • The thesis has not yet worked: Under fell from entries around 52–80¢ to roughly 32¢ as Over surged 55% in one day.

$147,996 on Under

Sharp serial bettor sizing up

A high-volume serial sports bettor with a strong long-term record is adding a large Under position at 88¢ on a relatively quiet total-goals market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 2,070 bets and is up $221k lifetime.
  • They bought $26.8k of Under at 88¢, a large favorite bet that dwarfed recent market activity.
  • This is an add-on to an existing Under position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off trade.

$26,800 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

New profitable favorite bettor

A young repeat large bettor with early profits is adding to an Under position in a relatively quiet sports market, though the edge is tempered by a short record mostly on heavy favorites.

  • This 8-day-old wallet has already made 9 positions and is up $1,398 so far.
  • The bettor is adding to an Under position with $3,794 at 89¢, a large trade relative to this market’s $5,503 daily volume.
  • Their 7-0 record is promising, but most wins came on heavy favorites around 92¢.

$3,794 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2117...5c26 Outcome 99391303, $45,392 (43% win rate)
  2. 0x45c3...59bf Outcome 99391303, $29,758 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x85e5...6056 Outcome 99391303, $29,381 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xfc7a...3183 Outcome 99391303, $27,068 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x8325...19cc Outcome 99391303, $25,199 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x2e61...19bd Outcome 99391303, $11,175 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x56c9...0d9e Outcome 99391303, $10,764 (92% win rate)
  8. 0xb37a...f1b1 Outcome 99391303, $10,000 (52% win rate)
  9. 0x7d78...29a5 Outcome 99391303, $9,369 (78% win rate)
  10. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 28376930, $9,031 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

Both score, under four goals

Covers 2 related markets

Morocco leads at halftime

Covers 1 related market

Netherlands Sweden stay under

Covers 1 related market

Argentina Austria go over

Covers 1 related market

Shnaider beats Samsonova at Wimbledon

Covers 1 related market

Brazil wins on June 24

Covers 1 related market

France finishes third in World Cup

Covers 1 related market

United States beats Senegal

Covers 3 related markets

England will win on July 18

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin stays below $64K

Covers 1 related market

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

ResolvedFrance vs. England - More Markets$303,060 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and England combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

England
ENG
6
World Cup
Full Time
France
FRA
4
FRA 200/1ENG 1/12
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Attendance
64,478
Price History — “Under
90¢
88¢
85¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

5h ago

$117,455 on Over at 47¢

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

5h ago

$5,607 on Under at 34¢

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

5h ago

$1,408 on Under at 33¢

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

6h ago

$147,996 on Under at 55¢

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

1d ago

$26,800 on Under at 88¢

France vs. England: O/U 5.5

2d ago

$3,794 on Under at 89¢

Related Theses