Part of: France vs. England - More Markets
France vs. England: O/U 5.5
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $303,060.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Linked cluster backs Over
A linked 16-wallet cluster made a large Over position alongside a 112x volume spike, including a highly profitable 96% winner buying at 47 cents.
- Sixteen linked wallets committed about $117,000 to Over, including a $21,000 position from a bettor with a 96% win rate across 148 resolved bets.
- The market saw a 112x historical volume spike and moved sharply upward, suggesting unusually concentrated conviction.
- The strongest Over entry was 47¢, implying substantial upside if the position can still be entered near that price.
$117,455 on Over
15-wallet linked Under cluster
A coordinated 15-wallet Under position totaling nearly $92,000, backed by linked funders and a 112.5x volume spike, is a strong directional signal despite the individual seller's mediocre track record.
- 15 wallets bet Under with $91,792 combined, including wallets linked to two shared funders.
- Trading volume spiked 112.5x above its historical average across 43 trades.
- The individual trader is only modestly proven at 59% wins, so the coordinated flow matters more than the wallet's history.
$5,607 on Under | Wallet win rate: 59%
15-wallet linked Under cluster
A strongly coordinated 15-wallet Under position and 112.5x volume spike make this sports trade notable despite the trader's modest historical edge and sharply adverse current price move.
- 15 wallets backed Under for a combined $91,792, with two linked funding sources behind the group.
- Trading surged to 112.5 times its historical average, indicating unusually concentrated interest in this game.
- The featured wallet has 12,523 resolved bets and is up $293,920, though its 59% win rate is not clearly superior to its average entry prices.
$1,408 on Under | Wallet win rate: 59%
19-wallet cluster backing Under
A large, linked 19-wallet cluster committed nearly $148,000 to Under amid a major volume spike, though the position has since moved sharply against them.
- Nineteen linked wallets bought Under for nearly $148,000, including a 99.9x surge in market activity.
- One participating bettor has an 83% win rate across 109 resolved bets, while another serial trader shows a 90% win rate.
- The thesis has not yet worked: Under fell from entries around 52–80¢ to roughly 32¢ as Over surged 55% in one day.
$147,996 on Under
Sharp serial bettor sizing up
A high-volume serial sports bettor with a strong long-term record is adding a large Under position at 88¢ on a relatively quiet total-goals market.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 2,070 bets and is up $221k lifetime.
- They bought $26.8k of Under at 88¢, a large favorite bet that dwarfed recent market activity.
- This is an add-on to an existing Under position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off trade.
$26,800 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
New profitable favorite bettor
A young repeat large bettor with early profits is adding to an Under position in a relatively quiet sports market, though the edge is tempered by a short record mostly on heavy favorites.
- This 8-day-old wallet has already made 9 positions and is up $1,398 so far.
- The bettor is adding to an Under position with $3,794 at 89¢, a large trade relative to this market’s $5,503 daily volume.
- Their 7-0 record is promising, but most wins came on heavy favorites around 92¢.
$3,794 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 99391303, $45,392 (43% win rate)
- 0x45c3...59bf — Outcome 99391303, $29,758 (100% win rate)
- 0x85e5...6056 — Outcome 99391303, $29,381 (80% win rate)
- 0xfc7a...3183 — Outcome 99391303, $27,068 (100% win rate)
- 0x8325...19cc — Outcome 99391303, $25,199 (60% win rate)
- 0x2e61...19bd — Outcome 99391303, $11,175 (50% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Outcome 99391303, $10,764 (92% win rate)
- 0xb37a...f1b1 — Outcome 99391303, $10,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x7d78...29a5 — Outcome 99391303, $9,369 (78% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 28376930, $9,031 (61% win rate)
Related Theses
Both score, under four goals
Covers 2 related markets
Morocco leads at halftime
Covers 1 related market
Netherlands Sweden stay under
Covers 1 related market
Argentina Austria go over
Covers 1 related market
Shnaider beats Samsonova at Wimbledon
Covers 1 related market
Brazil wins on June 24
Covers 1 related market
France finishes third in World Cup
Covers 1 related market
United States beats Senegal
Covers 3 related markets
England will win on July 18
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin stays below $64K
Covers 1 related market


