Part of: France vs. England - More Markets

France vs. England: Team to Win

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup third-place play-off between France and England, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France officially wins the match and finishes third in the FIFA World Cup. This market will resolve to "England" if England officially wins the match and finishes third in the FIFA World Cup. This includes a win after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a winner is officially declared. If the game is canceled entirely and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $929,196.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

97% winner in coordinated France buy

A historically exceptional bettor bought France at 53¢ alongside a 61-wallet, $482K coordinated flow, though the position has since fallen sharply to 12¢ and is an added position.

This bettor has won 34 of 35 resolved positions, with $2.26M in lifetime profit and a 49¢ average winning entry.
61 linked wallets bought France in the same direction, totaling $482,479 across the cluster.
The signal is high-conviction but risky: this was added to an existing France position, and the price has fallen from 53¢ to 12¢.

$57,476 on France | Wallet win rate: 97%

68-wallet England buying cluster

A large linked-wallet campaign put over $548,000 behind England while additional traders aggressively sold France, driving a sharp repricing and including several historically profitable bettors.

Eight linked funders coordinated 68 wallets into $548,000 of England buys, while 27 trades sold France for another $208,000.
The flow drove England sharply higher, from roughly 46–50¢ entries to about 88¢, signaling strong concentrated conviction.
Several participants have strong records, including bettors with 92% wins over 218 positions and 86% over 36 positions.

$548,374 on England

48-wallet France push

Strong one-sided France flow from 48 wallets is reinforced by a profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $542k lifetime profit.

48 wallets bought France in the same window, totaling about $605k on one side.
This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $542k lifetime.
Entry at 67¢ suggests they still see value despite France already being the favorite.

$1,005 on France | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp bettor joins 48-wallet France flow

Proven 87% winner is adding to France alongside a large 48-wallet one-sided flow totaling $605k, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $37.6k lifetime.
48 wallets are all buying France, totaling $605k in same-direction flow.
The wallet is adding to an existing France position at 68¢, showing continued conviction.

$1,400 on France | Wallet win rate: 87%

48-wallet one-sided steam

Strong one-sided flow from 48 wallets buying France, supported by a profitable serial cross-market trader adding to an existing position.

48 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $605k in France exposure.
This bettor has won 79% of resolved trades and is up about $39.8k lifetime.
They are adding to an existing France position at 68¢, showing continued conviction.

$1,500 on France | Wallet win rate: 79%

Proven sports sharp adding

Surfacing because a proven sports bettor with an 83% record and long cross-market history is adding to France, though the bet is modest in a very liquid market.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $61k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 61 events, with $181k deployed and the same 83% record.
They are adding to an existing France position at 65¢, showing continued conviction.

$1,420 on France | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable whale backing England

A profitable high-volume sports trader is building a large England position at 36¢, though the edge is moderate rather than elite.

This bettor is up about $460K lifetime across 143 resolved markets.
They already have roughly $308K invested on England at the same 36¢ entry.
Their buying helped drive a major pre-event volume spike in this market.

$183,345 on England | Wallet win rate: 58%

89% sharp adding to France

Proven high-edge bettor with an 89% resolved win rate is adding to an existing France position at 65¢.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $74.5k lifetime.
They are adding to an existing France position, bringing exposure to about $7.4k at 65¢.
This wallet has traded across 40 events with the same 89% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$2,925 on France | Wallet win rate: 89%

13-wallet France conviction cluster

A large one-sided France cluster combines a 56.7x volume spike with several proven profitable bettors, including an 84% winner scaling into France at 68-69%.

Thirteen wallets invested $378,822 on France, including a bettor with an 84% win rate and $962,637 in lifetime profit.
The activity coincided with a 56.7x historical volume spike, while France’s price rose to 68-69%.
Most wallets were adding to existing France positions, so this signals reinforced conviction rather than entirely new exposure.

$131,752 on France