Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,053.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
98% winner buying Over
Sharp sports bettor with a 98% resolved win record bought $6.5k of Over at 66¢, making this a copy-worthy position despite a fairly liquid market.
- This bettor has won 123 of 125 resolved trades and is profitable lifetime.
- They put $6.5k on Over at 66¢, a sizable fresh position on France scoring 3+ goals.
- The market has already moved up 11.5 points this week, supporting the same direction.
$4,596 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%
92% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Over at 51¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $15.8K lifetime.
- They bought Over at 51¢, implying France scoring 3+ goals is still underpriced.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 178x above its historical average.
$1,467 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%
98% winner buying Over
Elite 98% win-rate wallet with $2.0M lifetime profit bought Over amid a major volume spike and strong cross-market history.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 69 events with a 98% track record.
- Market volume spiked 172x versus normal activity, adding momentum behind the Over entry.
$1,229 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable wallet joins Under cluster
Coordinated Under buying is worth noting because one participating wallet is highly profitable and the flow hit right around kickoff, but the signal is weakened by stronger opposite-side Over flow and price moving against them.
- A bettor up $2.3M lifetime joined the Under side, buying around 32¢ alongside two other wallets.
- Three wallets put $13.7K on Under right around game time, despite the market now pricing it lower at 26¢.
- The signal is mixed because a larger $22K cluster also bought Over, so this is a higher-risk contrarian follow.
$13,740 on Under
Coordinated Over bettors
High-score coordinated Over buying with 5 wallets, a 46.6x pre-event volume spike, and serial cross-market sports bettors behind the flow.
- Five wallets bought $26.8k of Over, pushing a one-sided cluster on a soccer prop.
- Volume is 46.6x normal, suggesting money is arriving ahead of the match.
- One bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $13k, while a serial cross-market trader has bet across 220 events.
$26,806 on Over
Sharp 90% bettor
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets with positive P&L and is buying Over on a liquid soccer market at 67¢.
- This bettor has won 90% of resolved bets and is up $304 lifetime.
- They are taking a fresh $2.5k position on Over at 67¢.
- The market has been moving toward Over, up 8.5 points over the past week.
$2,462 on Over | Wallet win rate: 96%
83% sports bettor
A high-hit-rate sports bettor with 83% wins across 54 resolved positions bought Over at 67¢, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades across 54 positions, with past entries averaging around 49¢.
- They bought $2,300 of Over at 67¢ as the market has already moved up 12.5 points this week.
- Entry at 67¢ implies they are backing France to score 3+ goals despite the price already being favored.
$2,300 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%
98% winner buying Over
Sharp sports bettor with a 98% resolved win record bought $6.5k of Over at 66¢, making this a copy-worthy position despite a fairly liquid market.
- This bettor has won 123 of 125 resolved trades and is profitable lifetime.
- They put $6.5k on Over at 66¢, a sizable fresh position on France scoring 3+ goals.
- The market has already moved up 11.5 points this week, supporting the same direction.
$6,454 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 75093374, $50,985 (64% win rate)
- 0x22ed...002b — Outcome 75093374, $11,683 (41% win rate)
- 0x82c1...c2c6 — Outcome 75093374, $7,800 (59% win rate)
- 0x5e39...352c — Outcome 75093374, $2,000 (72% win rate)
- 0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 75093374, $1,495 (56% win rate)
- 0xe401...7b88 — Outcome 75093374, $1,412 (65% win rate)
- 0x5505...aa44 — Outcome 75093374, $1,193
- 0x33bc...37dc — Outcome 75093374, $1,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x8230...5121 — Outcome 75093374, $795 (75% win rate)
- 0x629d...756c — Outcome 75093374, $600
Related Theses
Arsenal win by two-plus
Covers 1 related market
