Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $506,028.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
16-wallet Under steam
A large 16-wallet coordinated move bought Under at much lower prices, backed by a major volume spike and several profitable repeat sports traders, though the market has already moved far above the entry range.
- 16 wallets put $71.6k on Under, moving the price from the mid-40¢ range to 72¢.
- Several repeat sports traders joined the move, including one up $1.2M lifetime and another up $148k.
- Volume is 15.9x normal ahead of the match, but the best entry was near 43¢ rather than the current 72¢.
$71,649 on Under
6-wallet Under cluster
High-scoring alert driven by coordinated Under buying from six wallets, linked funding, a large event-wide position, and a major volume/price move despite the main wallet lacking a strong historical edge.
- Six wallets bought Under for $21.6k, with two linked to the same funder.
- Market activity jumped 14.7x above normal alongside a 23-point price move.
- The main wallet has $84.7k spread across eight related markets, suggesting a broader game thesis.
$27,149 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
13-wallet Over cluster
Surfaced because 13 wallets pushed the same Over side for $65.9k and this wallet has nearly $1M lifetime profit, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.
- 13 wallets all bought Over, totaling $65.9k on the same side.
- This bettor is up $956k lifetime across more than 4,000 resolved bets.
- The entry was 65¢, but the market is now 28¢, so the original timing has moved sharply against them.
$1,293 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
13-wallet Under fade
High-score alert driven by 13-wallet one-sided Under flow plus a profitable serial cross-market trader fading Over after a major move.
- 13 wallets are taking the Under side together, with $61.6K flowing the same way.
- The highlighted bettor has won 66% of 189 resolved trades and is up $40.9K lifetime.
- This is a fade after Over moved sharply higher; the equivalent Under entry was 34¢.
$6,573 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%
6-wallet Under cluster
High-scoring alert driven by coordinated Under buying from six wallets, linked funding, a large event-wide position, and a major volume/price move despite the main wallet lacking a strong historical edge.
- Six wallets bought Under for $21.6k, with two linked to the same funder.
- Market activity jumped 14.7x above normal alongside a 23-point price move.
- The main wallet has $84.7k spread across eight related markets, suggesting a broader game thesis.
$24,875 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Coordinated Over flow with sharps
Large coordinated Over flow is worth surfacing because multiple profitable/active wallets joined a $63.5k push, though similar Under flow makes the signal mixed rather than clean.
- 11 wallets put $63.5k on Over, with several entries clustered around 48–56¢.
- Profitable bettors joined the move, including one wallet up $4.2M lifetime and another with a 75% record exiting Under.
- Volume is 41x above normal, but a similarly large Under cluster means this is a high-conviction, mixed-flow spot.
$63,522 on Over
95% winner joining Under cluster
Sharp 95% winner with major lifetime profit bought $23k of Under alongside a 7-wallet one-sided cluster and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved trades and is up $579k lifetime.
- They bought $23k of Under at 46¢, below the current 50¢ market price.
- Seven wallets are all betting Under, totaling about $101k in same-direction flow.
$23,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 96%
92% winner joins Under cluster
Sharp 92% winner with strong lifetime profit bought Under, alongside 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $171,593 lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Under, totaling about $100,714 in the same direction.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they saw Under as mispriced before it moved to 50¢.
$8,513 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
7-wallet Under surge
High-conviction one-sided Under flow: 7 wallets bought over $100k amid a 57x pre-event volume spike, despite the lead wallet's poor lifetime P&L.
- Seven wallets all bought Under, totaling about $101k on the same side.
- This wallet added $26k at 46¢, and the market has already moved to about 50¢.
- Volume spiked 57x above normal before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning.
$26,094 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%
15-wallet Under surge
A large 15-wallet Under cluster, including linked wallets, profitable serial cross-market traders, and a new profitable whale, drove the market to 100%.
- 15 wallets put $131k on Under, with 7 wallets sharing a funder.
- Several active cross-market traders joined, including one with an 89% historical win rate across 144 events.
- A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is already up $40k and participated in the same direction.
$131,535 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 80630942, $100,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x8cc3...6904 — Outcome 80630942, $72,590
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 80630942, $57,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 80630942, $50,000 (70% win rate)
- 0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 80630942, $50,000 (74% win rate)
- 0x839e...0d3c — Outcome 80630942, $37,736 (97% win rate)
- 0x55a1...db28 — Outcome 80630942, $32,237 (82% win rate)
- 0x1d1a...0df6 — Outcome 80630942, $29,995 (53% win rate)
- 0x355d...65e0 — Outcome 80630942, $20,000 (78% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 80630942, $19,200 (94% win rate)
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