Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,174.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
13-wallet Under surge
High-scoring coordinated flow into Under with a major volume spike and price movement, though the individual wallet has a weak long-term record and mixed same-market trades.
- 13 wallets bought Under for about $61.6K, creating a clear one-sided flow signal.
- Volume was roughly 14x normal, with sharp price movement around the same window.
- This is a flow-based signal, not a sharp-wallet signal: the main wallet is down $91K lifetime despite heavy trading.
$39,728 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp cluster buying Over
High-scoring coordinated Over bet backed by multiple profitable/sharp wallets, including an 88% winner and a serial cross-market trader with strong historical results.
- Six wallets put $12.2K on Over, including sells of Under that convert to the same bet.
- One bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $38K, while another wins 78% and is profitable.
- This is part of a broader event thesis: $37.7K traded across 5 related markets by a serial cross-market trader.
$12,240 on Over
5-wallet Under cluster
High-scoring coordinated Under buy from 5 wallets, including profitable high-volume sports bettors and a serial cross-market trader positioning across the event.
- Five wallets bought $17.8K of Under, with two linked by the same funder.
- Two wallets in the cluster have strong profits, up $1.2M and $2.3M lifetime.
- The same trader pattern spans 4 markets in this event with $74.7K positioned.
$17,751 on Under
94% winner buying Over
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and major lifetime profits bought Over 4.5 while also trading multiple markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.7M lifetime.
- They have traded 335 events and 624 markets, showing a long-running profitable sports pattern.
- They put $7.6K on Over at 34¢, implying a nearly 3x payout if France and Iraq combine for 5+ goals.
$7,555 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
Proven 76% winner
Surfacing because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 76% win rate over 3,614 resolved bets and extensive cross-market history buying Under.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $885K deployed across 192 events.
- They bought Under at 67¢, adding against a market that has recently moved toward Over.
$1,749 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
88% serial sports sharp
A highly proven cross-market sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $216k lifetime profit bought Under 4.5 at 67¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $216,736 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 196 events, with strong results over 852 resolved positions.
- Entry at 67¢ backs Under 4.5 despite recent market drift toward the Over.
$1,150 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x34f6...4535 — Outcome 27466150, $331,398 (91% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 27466150, $56,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xf8e2...ec79 — Outcome 27466150, $25,270 (73% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 27466150, $22,222 (94% win rate)
- 0xa38a...821d — Outcome 27466150, $13,962 (56% win rate)
- 0xdb15...8393 — Outcome 27466150, $10,205 (67% win rate)
- 0xf5e2...1327 — Outcome 27466150, $1,515
- 0x7e52...00f5 — Outcome 27466150, $1,500 (79% win rate)
- 0xaa84...2b4b — Outcome 27466150, $1,471
- 0x1eba...ff9c — Outcome 27466150, $1,445 (82% win rate)
Related Theses
Exactly four goals scored
Covers 4 related markets
XLG upsets EDward Gaming
Covers 5 related markets


