Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Iraq, scheduled for June 22 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and Iraq combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,174.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
13-wallet Under surge
High-scoring coordinated flow into Under with a major volume spike and price movement, though the individual wallet has a weak long-term record and mixed same-market trades.
- 13 wallets bought Under for about $61.6K, creating a clear one-sided flow signal.
- Volume was roughly 14x normal, with sharp price movement around the same window.
- This is a flow-based signal, not a sharp-wallet signal: the main wallet is down $91K lifetime despite heavy trading.
$39,728 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%
Sharp cluster buying Over
High-scoring coordinated Over bet backed by multiple profitable/sharp wallets, including an 88% winner and a serial cross-market trader with strong historical results.
- Six wallets put $12.2K on Over, including sells of Under that convert to the same bet.
- One bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $38K, while another wins 78% and is profitable.
- This is part of a broader event thesis: $37.7K traded across 5 related markets by a serial cross-market trader.
$12,240 on Over
5-wallet Under cluster
High-scoring coordinated Under buy from 5 wallets, including profitable high-volume sports bettors and a serial cross-market trader positioning across the event.
- Five wallets bought $17.8K of Under, with two linked by the same funder.
- Two wallets in the cluster have strong profits, up $1.2M and $2.3M lifetime.
- The same trader pattern spans 4 markets in this event with $74.7K positioned.
$17,751 on Under
94% winner buying Over
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and major lifetime profits bought Over 4.5 while also trading multiple markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.7M lifetime.
- They have traded 335 events and 624 markets, showing a long-running profitable sports pattern.
- They put $7.6K on Over at 34¢, implying a nearly 3x payout if France and Iraq combine for 5+ goals.
$7,555 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven 76% winner
Surfacing because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 76% win rate over 3,614 resolved bets and extensive cross-market history buying Under.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $885K deployed across 192 events.
- They bought Under at 67¢, adding against a market that has recently moved toward Over.
$1,749 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%
88% serial sports sharp
A highly proven cross-market sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $216k lifetime profit bought Under 4.5 at 67¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $216,736 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 196 events, with strong results over 852 resolved positions.
- Entry at 67¢ backs Under 4.5 despite recent market drift toward the Over.
$1,150 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x34f6...4535 — Over, $331,398 (84% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Over, $56,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xf8e2...ec79 — Over, $25,270 (70% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Over, $22,222 (76% win rate)
- 0xdb15...8393 — Over, $10,205 (75% win rate)
- 0xf5e2...1327 — Over, $1,515
- 0xaa84...2b4b — Over, $1,471
- 0x1eba...ff9c — Over, $1,445 (82% win rate)
- 0x645f...2c7f — Over, $1,394 (95% win rate)
- 0xa5ab...ff89 — Over, $1,324 (61% win rate)
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