Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,174.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

13-wallet Under surge

High-scoring coordinated flow into Under with a major volume spike and price movement, though the individual wallet has a weak long-term record and mixed same-market trades.

  • 13 wallets bought Under for about $61.6K, creating a clear one-sided flow signal.
  • Volume was roughly 14x normal, with sharp price movement around the same window.
  • This is a flow-based signal, not a sharp-wallet signal: the main wallet is down $91K lifetime despite heavy trading.

$39,728 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp cluster buying Over

High-scoring coordinated Over bet backed by multiple profitable/sharp wallets, including an 88% winner and a serial cross-market trader with strong historical results.

  • Six wallets put $12.2K on Over, including sells of Under that convert to the same bet.
  • One bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $38K, while another wins 78% and is profitable.
  • This is part of a broader event thesis: $37.7K traded across 5 related markets by a serial cross-market trader.

$12,240 on Over

5-wallet Under cluster

High-scoring coordinated Under buy from 5 wallets, including profitable high-volume sports bettors and a serial cross-market trader positioning across the event.

  • Five wallets bought $17.8K of Under, with two linked by the same funder.
  • Two wallets in the cluster have strong profits, up $1.2M and $2.3M lifetime.
  • The same trader pattern spans 4 markets in this event with $74.7K positioned.

$17,751 on Under

94% winner buying Over

Elite profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and major lifetime profits bought Over 4.5 while also trading multiple markets in the same event.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.7M lifetime.
  • They have traded 335 events and 624 markets, showing a long-running profitable sports pattern.
  • They put $7.6K on Over at 34¢, implying a nearly 3x payout if France and Iraq combine for 5+ goals.

$7,555 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven 76% winner

Surfacing because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 76% win rate over 3,614 resolved bets and extensive cross-market history buying Under.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $885K deployed across 192 events.
  • They bought Under at 67¢, adding against a market that has recently moved toward Over.

$1,749 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

88% serial sports sharp

A highly proven cross-market sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $216k lifetime profit bought Under 4.5 at 67¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $216,736 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 196 events, with strong results over 852 resolved positions.
  • Entry at 67¢ backs Under 4.5 despite recent market drift toward the Over.

$1,150 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x34f6...4535 Outcome 27466150, $331,398 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 27466150, $56,000 (86% win rate)
  3. 0xf8e2...ec79 Outcome 27466150, $25,270 (73% win rate)
  4. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 27466150, $22,222 (94% win rate)
  5. 0xa38a...821d Outcome 27466150, $13,962 (56% win rate)
  6. 0xdb15...8393 Outcome 27466150, $10,205 (67% win rate)
  7. 0xf5e2...1327 Outcome 27466150, $1,515
  8. 0x7e52...00f5 Outcome 27466150, $1,500 (79% win rate)
  9. 0xaa84...2b4b Outcome 27466150, $1,471
  10. 0x1eba...ff9c Outcome 27466150, $1,445 (82% win rate)

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France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

ResolvedFrance vs. Iraq - More Markets$80,174 tracked6 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Iraq, scheduled for June 22 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and Iraq combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Iraq
IRQ
0
World Cup
Full Time
France
FRA
3
FRA 1/33IRQ 66/1
Venue
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Attendance
68,324
Price History — “Under
91¢
78¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$39,728 on Under at 73¢

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$12,240 on Over at 21¢

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$17,751 on Under at 70¢

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$7,555 on Over at 34¢

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$1,749 on Under at 67¢

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

9d ago

$1,150 on Under at 67¢

Related Theses