Part of: France vs. Spain - More Markets

France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,567.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Coordinated Under move

Three wallets, including one highly profitable bettor, added to Under before a sharp move from the mid-60s to 82¢ in a high-volume France team-total market.

  • Three wallets bought $11.7K of Under at 63–70¢ before it moved to 82¢.
  • One bettor in the cluster is up $3.6M lifetime with a 64% hit rate across 4,181 resolved bets.
  • Two wallets were already holding Under and added more, signaling increased conviction rather than profit-taking.

$11,693 on Under

Sharp five-wallet Over cluster

Five wallets, including multiple highly profitable sports bettors, are adding to Over positions amid a 58x pre-event volume spike, though there is also meaningful opposing Under flow.

  • Five wallets bought $14.7k of Over, and several are adding to existing positions rather than making one-off bets.
  • The strongest bettors here have 72–89% win rates, including one wallet up $1.6M lifetime.
  • Market volume is running 58x above normal before the match, suggesting this is part of a broader pre-game positioning wave.

$14,672 on Over

77% winner cross-market bettor

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate and $871k lifetime P&L is adding to a large cross-market France-Spain thesis by buying France Over 1.5 at 43¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $871k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 73 events, 83 markets, and $1.47M traded.
  • This is part of a bigger France-Spain position, with $88k spread across 4 markets in the same event.

$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%

98% winner adding Over

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate is adding to an Over position at 44¢.

  • This bettor has won 79 of 81 resolved bets and is up $16,007 lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing Over position, bringing total exposure on this market to about $6,818.
  • Entry at 44¢ implies they see France scoring 2+ goals as a mispriced opportunity.

$3,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%

Proven 77% sports sharp

Proven high-volume bettor with a strong long-term edge is buying Over at 44¢ on France scoring 2+ goals.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 305 events with $1.85M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 44¢ suggests they see France scoring 2+ as underpriced.

$1,202 on Over | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 64505827, $38,000 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 64505827, $37,813 (69% win rate)
  3. 0x9f03...766d Outcome 64505827, $22,342 (79% win rate)
  4. 0xaf2c...82b9 Outcome 64505827, $11,355
  5. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 64505827, $10,451 (55% win rate)
  6. 0xf81a...5d86 Outcome 64505827, $7,698 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x332a...c9a2 Outcome 64505827, $7,500 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x62e0...32df Outcome 64505827, $6,818 (98% win rate)
  9. 0xd914...0d9a Outcome 64505827, $5,567 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x0b57...5d9a Outcome 64505827, $4,594 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Norway England goalfest starts early

Covers 5 related markets

France wins high-scoring thriller

Covers 4 related markets

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Mexico and Ecuador draw

Covers 3 related markets

Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Japan covers in three-goal game

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina wins low scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye vs US match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Morocco wins low scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Türkiye wins two nil

Covers 5 related markets

France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5

ResolvedFrance vs. Spain - More Markets$35,567 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Spain, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France score 2 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If France score less than 2 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on France's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Under
86¢
70¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5

3d ago

$11,693 on Under at 67¢

France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5

3d ago

$14,672 on Over at 42¢

France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5

3d ago

$5,000 on Over at 43¢

France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5

3d ago

$3,000 on Over at 44¢

France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5

4d ago

$1,202 on Over at 44¢

Related Theses

Norway England goalfest starts early
Wallet_0x9f035 trades 5 related markets
Norway vs. England: England 1s…Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5
France wins high-scoring thriller
Wallet_0x9f035 trades 4 related markets
France vs. Spain: Team to Adva…France vs. Spain: Both Teams t…France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Goals, not Germany by two
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Mexico and Ecuador draw
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in…Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30…Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Team…Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5
Japan covers in three-goal game
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Argentina wins low scoring match
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Türkiye vs US match canceled
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Morocco wins low scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5
Türkiye wins two nil
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st…Spread: United States (-2.5)Spread: United States (-1.5)