Part of: France vs. Spain - More Markets

France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $697,439.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor with a 72% resolved win rate is buying Under at near-even odds ahead of a major soccer match with a sharp pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up about $800K lifetime.
They have traded across 258 events with $9.4M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
They bought Under at 49¢ as pre-game volume spiked far above its historical average.

$5,064 on Under | Wallet win rate: 72%

95% winner adding Under

Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $3.3M profit is adding a large Under position alongside one-sided flow from 6 wallets.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
They added $137K to Under and already hold a much larger Under position on this game.
Six wallets have bought the same side for $178K total, adding support to the move.

$137,392 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp 7-wallet Over push

Strong one-sided Over flow from 7 wallets totaling $156.7k, backed by multiple profitable sports traders and a 15.5x pre-event volume spike.

7 wallets bought $157k of Over at 49¢, all moving the same way before kickoff.
One leading bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $935k lifetime.
Market volume is running 15.5x above normal, suggesting heavy pre-game positioning.

$52,315 on Over

Proven bettor adding Over

Proven profitable bettor with a 78% record is adding to an Over position at 49¢, supported by a long history of cross-market sports trading.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $67.5K lifetime.
They have traded across 43 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off bet.
They are adding to an existing Over position at 49¢, bringing total exposure on this market to about $9.1K.

$4,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 78%

82% bettor adding Under

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 82% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Under position at 51¢.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $7,025 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/event edge.
They added $1,015 to an existing Under position at 51¢, bringing disclosed exposure to about $3,015.

$1,015 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%

39-wallet linked Under surge

Huge linked-wallet cluster and cross-market sharp flow drove Under from mid-market pricing to 100%, though the copy window appears gone now.

39 wallets with 4 shared funders pushed $375K into the same Under side.
The move came with a 19x volume spike and sent Under up 64 percentage points to 100%.
Several participating bettors have strong histories, including wallets winning 82% and 87% of resolved bets at much lower average odds.

$374,741 on Under

94% sharp adding Under

Proven high-edge sports bettor with 94% resolved win rate is adding to a large existing Under position at 49¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
They already have about $277K on Under at the same 49¢ entry, so this is adding to a large position.
This wallet has traded 31 related sports events with a 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$19,946 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%

92% winner backing Under

Proven sharp wallet with a 92% historical win rate and $1.2M profit is taking a fresh $7.5k Under position while also trading related markets in the same event.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $1.2M lifetime.
They put $7.5k on Under at 50¢, implying a clean even-money entry.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 381 events with a strong track record.

$19,388 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%

94% sharp adding Under

Proven high-edge sports bettor with 94% resolved win rate is adding to a large existing Under position at 49¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
They already have about $277K on Under at the same 49¢ entry, so this is adding to a large position.
This wallet has traded 31 related sports events with a 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$24,750 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%

92% winner adding Over

A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet is adding to an existing Over position, though the bet is modest in a very liquid market.

This bettor has won 92% of resolved trades and is up $34K lifetime.
They are adding to an existing Over position, bringing total exposure to about $4.5K at 51¢.
This wallet has traded across 40 events with the same strong hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

0x580d...eb6d — Outcome 56086268, $400,000 (87% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 56086268, $228,836 (62% win rate)
0x355d...65e0 — Outcome 56086268, $150,000 (85% win rate)
0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 56086268, $127,921 (58% win rate)
0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 56086268, $118,519 (81% win rate)
0x8a26...73c3 — Outcome 56086268, $100,000 (100% win rate)
0xf751...fec8 — Outcome 56086268, $99,413 (50% win rate)
0xd04d...bfc2 — Outcome 56086268, $67,513 (35% win rate)
0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 56086268, $65,496 (75% win rate)
0xc289...ab37 — Outcome 56086268, $63,986 (95% win rate)

Related Theses

Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low

Covers 6 related markets

France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

ResolvedFrance vs. Spain - More Markets$697,439 tracked15 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Spain, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and Spain combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.