Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $177,910.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor joins Over cluster

Profitable wallet is buying Over alongside a 13-wallet one-sided cluster and a large pre-event volume surge, with price already moving in their favor.

  • This bettor is up $225k lifetime across 475 resolved trades.
  • 13 wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling about $35k on that side.
  • They entered Over at 56¢ and it has already moved to 62¢, with pre-game volume running over 40x normal.

$69,881 on Over | Wallet win rate: 57%

Sharp contrarian Under cluster

High-scoring alert with coordinated Under buying that includes two proven profitable wallets, though there is notable opposing Over flow and the market has moved against the Under entries.

  • A bettor who wins 99% of resolved positions and is up $13.8M bought Under around 48¢.
  • 10 wallets put $31.9K on Under, including Over sells that convert to Under exposure.
  • This is a contrarian entry: Under is now 38¢ after many of these trades entered around the high-40s.

$31,905 on Under

Sharp bettor joins Over cluster

A 93% winning bettor bought Over alongside a 14-wallet one-sided cluster during a major volume spike, despite the price moving sharply against Over afterward.

  • This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved bets, with a strong record of beating the market price.
  • 14 wallets are all buying Over, totaling about $39.5K, with some linked funding behind the flow.
  • Volume is 38x normal, and this bettor entered at 68¢ while the market is now around 50¢.

$6,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

87% winner on sports totals

Sharp sports bettor with an 87% resolved-bet win rate and $705k lifetime profit bought Over despite only a modest stake in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $705k lifetime.
  • They have traded 235 markets across 215 events, with $782k in cross-market volume flagged.
  • Entry at 69¢ suggests they still see value on Over despite the market already moving up 3¢ today.

$1,275 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp 7-wallet Over cluster

Strong one-sided Over cluster backed by multiple sharp wallets, a major event-wide volume surge, and a 62¢ to 80¢ price move.

  • Seven wallets bought $37.9K of Over, pushing the price from about 62¢ to 80¢.
  • Several buyers have strong records, including one bettor up $814K with a 93% win rate.
  • This fits a broader event-wide move, with heavy cross-market betting and a 20x volume spike.

$37,868 on Over

96% win-rate sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 96% resolved win record and positive lifetime P&L bought Over despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor has won 26 of 27 resolved bets and is up $23.8K lifetime.
  • They bought $4.0K of Over at 69¢ in a liquid market, suggesting real conviction rather than noise.
  • Their past wins came at 77¢ average odds, so this 69¢ entry is below their usual favorite range.

$3,969 on Over | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven winner buying Under

Elite profitable sports bettor with a 76% long-run win rate is buying Under while also positioning across multiple related markets amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader, with $1.6M traded across 262 events.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume nearly 59x above its historical average.

$1,750 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

98% winner buying Over

A proven sports/cross-market wallet with a 46-1 resolved record made a large fresh buy on Over at 65¢.

  • This bettor has won 46 of 47 resolved positions, with past entries averaging around 53¢.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 66 events and nearly $2.9M in tracked volume.
  • The $25k buy is a sizable Over position at 65¢, large relative to this market’s recent trading.

$25,264 on Over | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 36122307, $304,649 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x3496...8fc4 Outcome 36122307, $100,000 (67% win rate)
  3. 0xa080...234f Outcome 36122307, $37,248 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x75bd...0288 Outcome 36122307, $29,537 (56% win rate)
  5. 0x3f3a...e8fd Outcome 36122307, $25,467 (54% win rate)
  6. 0xa2a0...7e90 Outcome 36122307, $20,188 (53% win rate)
  7. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 36122307, $17,328 (99% win rate)
  8. 0x10ff...5088 Outcome 36122307, $11,336 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x613b...823a Outcome 36122307, $10,800 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x26db...ba92 Outcome 36122307, $10,069

Related Theses

Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close

Covers 3 related markets

Spain Argentina or England wins

Covers 3 related markets

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Japan covers in three-goal game

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina wins low scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye vs US match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Morocco wins low scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Türkiye wins two nil

Covers 5 related markets

Three goals, Sweden covers

Covers 6 related markets

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

ResolvedFrance vs. Sweden - More Markets$177,910 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and Sweden combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Sweden
SWE
0
World Cup
Full Time
France
FRA
3
FRA 1/150SWE 150/1
Venue
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Attendance
80,663
Price History — “Over
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$69,881 on Over at 56¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$31,905 on Under at 47¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$6,000 on Over at 68¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$1,275 on Over at 69¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$37,868 on Over at 63¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$3,969 on Over at 69¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$1,750 on Under at 33¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

3d ago

$25,264 on Over at 65¢

Related Theses

Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close
Wallet_0xe5495 trades 3 related markets
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.…Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.…
Spain Argentina or England wins
Wallet_0xe5495 trades 3 related markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W…Will Argentina win the 2026 FI…Will England win the 2026 FIFA…
Goals, not Germany by two
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Team…Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5
Japan covers in three-goal game
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Argentina wins low scoring match
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Türkiye vs US match canceled
Wallet_0x160bf trades 3 related markets
Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Morocco wins low scoring
Wallet_0x160bf trades 7 related markets
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5
Türkiye wins two nil
Wallet_0x160bf trades 5 related markets
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st…Spread: United States (-2.5)Spread: United States (-1.5)
Three goals, Sweden covers
Wallet_0x160bf trades 6 related markets
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5