Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $294,600.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor plus 20-wallet flow
A highly profitable 78% lifetime bettor sold Under (equivalent to buying Over) alongside a 20-wallet one-sided Over flow, though the market now appears to have moved against the trade.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.39M lifetime.
- 20 wallets bet the same way, totaling $121K on the Over side.
- Selling Under at 81¢ is equivalent to buying Over at 19¢, implying a long-shot goals thesis.
$5,299 on Over | Wallet win rate: 78%
89% winner joins Over cluster
High-confidence sports signal from an 89% lifetime winner plus 15-wallet one-sided Over flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 89% of nearly 3,000 resolved trades and is up about $243K lifetime.
- 15 wallets bought the same Over side for $110K, with some linked funding behind the flow.
- The entry was 67¢, but Over has since fallen to 32¢, so this is a sharp-wallet contrarian spot at a much cheaper current price.
$1,155 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%
15-wallet Over cluster
High-conviction Over flow from a 15-wallet one-sided cluster, backed by a profitable serial sports trader and a major pre-event volume spike.
- 15 wallets are all buying Over, totaling about $110K on the same side.
- This bettor is up $226K lifetime across 478 resolved trades and has traded 76 related events.
- Market volume spiked nearly 49x above normal, suggesting a coordinated push before the game.
$1,858 on Over | Wallet win rate: 58%
9-wallet Over cluster
High-scoring coordinated Over flow: 9 wallets bought the same side, volume spiked, and the market has already moved sharply from 35¢ to 62¢.
- 9 wallets all bought Over, totaling $55k on the same side.
- This bettor is a serial event trader with $7.5M in tracked volume across 374 events.
- The entry was 35¢ and the market has already jumped to 62¢, so the move has largely repriced.
$8,814 on Over | Wallet win rate: 62%
80% serial sports sharp
Sharp 80% lifetime bettor with a long cross-market sports track record bought Under despite a large pre-event volume spike and linked-wallet signal.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $21,925 lifetime.
- They have traded across 62 events with an 80% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Four linked wallets share a funder, adding conviction behind the Under side.
$2,680 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%
Elite bettor fading Under
A high-scoring one-sided Over cluster is notable mainly because a 97% winning wallet sold a large Under position, though the biggest trade appears to be profit-taking rather than a fresh buy.
- The standout wallet wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $3.8M lifetime.
- That wallet sold $26.9k of Under, which is equivalent to buying Over around 27¢.
- Four wallets moved the same way on Over amid a 19.7x pre-game volume spike.
$31,261 on Over
99% winner backs Under
A highly profitable 99% lifetime winner bought Under as part of one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $13.8M lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying Under, totaling $71K in same-direction flow.
- Entry at 55¢ is close to the current market and implies a confident edge on Under.
$6,970 on Under | Wallet win rate: 99%
Linked cluster hit Under
A large linked-wallet cluster and several high-volume sports traders piled into Under, but the edge appears mostly gone with Under now priced at 100%.
- 22 wallets backed the same Under side with $194K, including linked funding across the cluster.
- Several experienced sports bettors joined, including one wallet up $143K with 84% wins across 311 resolved bets.
- The market moved hard to Under and now sits at 100%, so the trade was strongest before the late price jump.
$194,107 on Under
94% winner buys Over
A high-win-rate sports bettor with a 29-2 resolved record bought Over at 47¢, though the stake is modest relative to this liquid market.
- This bettor has won 29 of 31 resolved trades, an unusually strong sports betting record.
- They bought Over at 47¢, implying they see better-than-market value on 4+ total goals.
- The market is liquid, so the signal is the bettor’s track record rather than trade size.
$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
New repeat sports whale
An 11-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profits is buying Over in a liquid World Cup goals market.
- This 11-day-old bettor has already made 16 flagged large bets totaling about $125K.
- The wallet is 2-for-2 on resolved bets and up $3.6K so far.
- They bought Over at 47¢, implying a near-even game total where they see extra scoring upside.
$3,835 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xe221...06f6 — Outcome 73329343, $217,777 (100% win rate)
- 0x384b...7d78 — Outcome 73329343, $200,000
- 0x7d7e...9056 — Outcome 73329343, $24,592 (100% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 73329343, $24,397 (54% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Outcome 73329343, $15,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xae35...8d66 — Outcome 73329343, $12,385 (100% win rate)
- 0x4ed4...e181 — Outcome 73329343, $10,426 (38% win rate)
- 0xdc40...89cf — Outcome 73329343, $10,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x2ec5...fd53 — Outcome 73329343, $8,967 (63% win rate)
- 0xc908...54f7 — Outcome 73329343, $8,500
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