Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets

France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and Sweden combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $294,600.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor plus 20-wallet flow

A highly profitable 78% lifetime bettor sold Under (equivalent to buying Over) alongside a 20-wallet one-sided Over flow, though the market now appears to have moved against the trade.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.39M lifetime.
20 wallets bet the same way, totaling $121K on the Over side.
Selling Under at 81¢ is equivalent to buying Over at 19¢, implying a long-shot goals thesis.

$5,299 on Over | Wallet win rate: 78%

89% winner joins Over cluster

High-confidence sports signal from an 89% lifetime winner plus 15-wallet one-sided Over flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has won 89% of nearly 3,000 resolved trades and is up about $243K lifetime.
15 wallets bought the same Over side for $110K, with some linked funding behind the flow.
The entry was 67¢, but Over has since fallen to 32¢, so this is a sharp-wallet contrarian spot at a much cheaper current price.

$1,155 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%

15-wallet Over cluster

High-conviction Over flow from a 15-wallet one-sided cluster, backed by a profitable serial sports trader and a major pre-event volume spike.

15 wallets are all buying Over, totaling about $110K on the same side.
This bettor is up $226K lifetime across 478 resolved trades and has traded 76 related events.
Market volume spiked nearly 49x above normal, suggesting a coordinated push before the game.

$1,858 on Over | Wallet win rate: 58%

9-wallet Over cluster

High-scoring coordinated Over flow: 9 wallets bought the same side, volume spiked, and the market has already moved sharply from 35¢ to 62¢.

9 wallets all bought Over, totaling $55k on the same side.
This bettor is a serial event trader with $7.5M in tracked volume across 374 events.
The entry was 35¢ and the market has already jumped to 62¢, so the move has largely repriced.

$8,814 on Over | Wallet win rate: 67%

80% serial sports sharp

Sharp 80% lifetime bettor with a long cross-market sports track record bought Under despite a large pre-event volume spike and linked-wallet signal.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $21,925 lifetime.
They have traded across 62 events with an 80% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Four linked wallets share a funder, adding conviction behind the Under side.

$2,680 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite bettor fading Under

A high-scoring one-sided Over cluster is notable mainly because a 97% winning wallet sold a large Under position, though the biggest trade appears to be profit-taking rather than a fresh buy.

The standout wallet wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $3.8M lifetime.
That wallet sold $26.9k of Under, which is equivalent to buying Over around 27¢.
Four wallets moved the same way on Over amid a 19.7x pre-game volume spike.

$31,261 on Over

99% winner backs Under

A highly profitable 99% lifetime winner bought Under as part of one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $13.8M lifetime.
Three wallets are all buying Under, totaling $71K in same-direction flow.
Entry at 55¢ is close to the current market and implies a confident edge on Under.

$6,970 on Under | Wallet win rate: 99%

Linked cluster hit Under

A large linked-wallet cluster and several high-volume sports traders piled into Under, but the edge appears mostly gone with Under now priced at 100%.

22 wallets backed the same Under side with $194K, including linked funding across the cluster.
Several experienced sports bettors joined, including one wallet up $143K with 84% wins across 311 resolved bets.
The market moved hard to Under and now sits at 100%, so the trade was strongest before the late price jump.

$194,107 on Under

94% winner buys Over

A high-win-rate sports bettor with a 29-2 resolved record bought Over at 47¢, though the stake is modest relative to this liquid market.

This bettor has won 29 of 31 resolved trades, an unusually strong sports betting record.
They bought Over at 47¢, implying they see better-than-market value on 4+ total goals.
The market is liquid, so the signal is the bettor’s track record rather than trade size.

$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

New repeat sports whale

An 11-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profits is buying Over in a liquid World Cup goals market.

This 11-day-old bettor has already made 16 flagged large bets totaling about $125K.
The wallet is 2-for-2 on resolved bets and up $3.6K so far.
They bought Over at 47¢, implying a near-even game total where they see extra scoring upside.

$3,835 on Over | Wallet win rate: 84%