Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets

France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,698.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 70% long-term record is buying Under amid a major pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 2,585 resolved trades and is up about $103K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.6M staked across 317 markets and a strong long-term record.
  • This market saw a 114x pre-event volume spike, and the bettor is backing Under at 74¢.

$3,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable bettors align

Three wallets bought Under, including a highly profitable bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit.

  • One bettor in this cluster wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • A second wallet is also strongly profitable, up $909k across 970 resolved trades.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $7.9k at 73¢, backing Under in a liquid market.

$7,905 on Under

Event-wide whale position

A very large event-wide bettor is positioning across 12 related markets with a major pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.

  • This bettor has put $108k across 12 markets in the same event, suggesting a broad game thesis.
  • This market saw a 488x volume spike versus its historical average, with the Under bought at 75¢.
  • Caveat: the wallet is down $11M lifetime, so this is a conviction and momentum signal rather than a proven sharp bettor.

$22,793 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4f12...8140 Outcome 35264357, $109,783 (86% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 35264357, $64,365 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 35264357, $47,592 (54% win rate)
  4. 0xa38a...821d Outcome 35264357, $15,803 (56% win rate)
  5. 0x2117...5c26 Outcome 35264357, $15,222 (41% win rate)
  6. 0x198f...c419 Outcome 35264357, $5,000 (48% win rate)
  7. 0xccec...1dfc Outcome 35264357, $3,711 (52% win rate)
  8. 0xa700...102b Outcome 35264357, $2,821 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xa9a6...0009 Outcome 35264357, $2,538 (83% win rate)
  10. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 35264357, $2,499 (55% win rate)

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Brazil-Haiti finishes with three or five-plus

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Knicks win a high-scoring game

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Thunder win high-scoring shootout

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Thunder win high-scoring game

Covers 6 related markets

Thunder win high-scoring shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Knicks win high-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Germany will beat Ecuador

Covers 3 related markets

New Zealand Belgium stays low-scoring

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Iraq covers low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

ResolvedFrance vs. Sweden - More Markets$33,698 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and Sweden combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Sweden
SWE
0
World Cup
Full Time
France
FRA
3
FRA 1/150SWE 150/1
Venue
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Attendance
80,663
Price History — “Under
98¢
85¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

1d ago

$3,000 on Under at 74¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

1d ago

$7,905 on Under at 73¢

France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

1d ago

$22,793 on Under at 75¢

Related Theses