Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,698.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 70% long-term record is buying Under amid a major pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning.
- This bettor has won 70% of 2,585 resolved trades and is up about $103K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.6M staked across 317 markets and a strong long-term record.
- This market saw a 114x pre-event volume spike, and the bettor is backing Under at 74¢.
$3,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable bettors align
Three wallets bought Under, including a highly profitable bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
- A second wallet is also strongly profitable, up $909k across 970 resolved trades.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $7.9k at 73¢, backing Under in a liquid market.
$7,905 on Under
Event-wide whale position
A very large event-wide bettor is positioning across 12 related markets with a major pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.
- This bettor has put $108k across 12 markets in the same event, suggesting a broad game thesis.
- This market saw a 488x volume spike versus its historical average, with the Under bought at 75¢.
- Caveat: the wallet is down $11M lifetime, so this is a conviction and momentum signal rather than a proven sharp bettor.
$22,793 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0x4f12...8140 — Outcome 35264357, $109,783 (86% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 35264357, $64,365 (63% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 35264357, $47,592 (54% win rate)
- 0xa38a...821d — Outcome 35264357, $15,803 (56% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 35264357, $15,222 (41% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Outcome 35264357, $5,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xccec...1dfc — Outcome 35264357, $3,711 (52% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 35264357, $2,821 (55% win rate)
- 0xa9a6...0009 — Outcome 35264357, $2,538 (83% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 35264357, $2,499 (55% win rate)
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